IOWA: PRESIDENT
Among voters statewide
Among general election voters in Iowa
Bernie Sanders (I/D) over Donald Trump (R): +2 (51-49)
Donald Trump (R) over Joe Biden (D): +2 (51-49)
Donald Trump (R) over Elizabeth Warren (D): +2 (51-49)
RON’S COMMENT: Iowa has often been a swing state in presidential elections, although Trump carried it in 2016 by more than 9 points. This poll shows it now close either way. Democrats won Iowa in six of the last 10 presidential elections.
Among Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa
Joe Biden: 23%
Elizabeth Warren: 23%
Pete Buttigieg: 16%
Bernie Sanders: 13%
Andrew Yang: 5%
Steve Bullock: 4%
Cory Booker: 3%
Tom Steyer: 2%
Kamala Harris: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: This new Iowa poll has Biden and Warren tied at the top––and puts Buttigieg near striking distance. Interestingly, it also has Bullock showing some life and Harris fading away. This survey was conducted before and after the debate, so it doesn’t give us a pure reading on the debate’s impact…. One tidbit: Warren now leads Sanders among Iowa Democrats who voted for Sanders in 2016. |