20 Jan 50 Governors Rated – Iowa – Biden Leads – Monarchy, Anyone?
Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, January 20
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Down 1 from Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as Friday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 32%
RON’S COMMENT: This poll confirms other national polling with Biden first, Sanders second and Warren third. It also has Buttigieg and Bloomberg vying for fourth place…. Biden does best with women (34%), voters over 50 (41%), blacks (50%) and voters with incomes under $40k (37%). Sanders and Biden are nearly tied for first place among Hispanics.
Among Democratic caucusgoers statewide
RON’S COMMENT: This Iowa poll scrambles the deck, showing Biden clearly ahead with Warren second, Buttigieg third, Sanders fourth and Klobuchar within striking distance. Trends are all over the place:
50 GOVERNORS: APPROVAL RATINGS
Among voters in each state
State, Name (Party): Approve %/Disapprove %
RON’S COMMENT: The 14 most popular governors in the nation are all Republicans. Eight of the 10 least popular governors are Democrats…. Gordon (WY), Hogan (MD) and Baker (MA) all received 69% positive ratings in their states, ranking 1, 2 and 3. This is the first time Gordon has led Baker and Hogan…. The most popular Democrat is Edwards (LA), who was recently re-elected in red Louisiana…. The least popular Republican is Bevin (KY), who was defeated for re-election in red Kentucky. The least popular Democrats are Lamont (CT) and Inge (HI), each have 32% approval ratings in their blue states…. Looking at women governors, one rates in the top 10, one in the middle, four in the lower middle and three in the bottom 10…. Caveat: This data is based on surveys conducted between October 1 and December 31, 2019. As such, some of these results may not provide a useful current reading. (* = these governors were in office during most of the polling but have since left office.)
GREAT BRITAIN’S MONARCHY
Among adults in the U.S.
Generally speaking, do you think it’s a good or a bad thing for countries like the UK to have a monarchy?
Good thing: 13%
RON’S COMMENT: 14% of Democrats, 10% of independents and 18% of Republicans in the U.S. say it’s a good thing for countries like the UK to have a monarchy.
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Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
IOWA; FRA/Binder (D), Jan. 15-18
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: SurveyUSA, Jan. 14-16
GREAT BRITAIN’S MONARCHY: The Economist/YouGov. Jan. 11-14
50 GOVERNERS: Morning Consult, October 1 and December 31
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux