In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
At this point in the Coronavirus crisis only 14% of voters believe it has united the U.S. more. 61% believe the crisis has divided the nation more, and 17% believe it has not made any difference. 67% of Biden voters and 52% of Trump voters...
Biden’s lead widens over Trump for the 2020 presidential race. Though a Monmouth poll reports 21% of all registered voters do not have a favorable opinion of either Biden or Trump. Trump succeeded in the 2016 race by capturing this double negative group. Though...
Today’s newsletter covers Biden’s popular vote lead in the 2020 Presidential Race. Biden now carries key states Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Arizona and Florida – all of which Trump carried in the 2016 race. Narrow swing state margins translate into Trump’s need to secure...
Today's newsletter highlights Biden's growing lead in the 2020 Presidential race in key swing states such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida and Georgia. Trump still holds a lead within Wisconsin. Regarding Senate elections, Texas and Georgia favor their Republican candidates. North Carolina currently has Cal...
A new Economist/YouGov survey finds that 77% of voters think Racism is a big problem or somewhat of problem. By intensity, 48% see racism as a big problem, which includes 73% of Biden's supporters and 19% of Trump's supporters. Only 22% say that racism is...
2020 Presidential Race Update: Biden’s lead over Trump continues to widen. In a nationwide poll for registered voters, Biden is the favored presidential candidate among women by 53-37, blacks 81-6, Hispanics 59-25, Democrats 89-6 and independents 43-35. Trump wins men at 46-44, whites 50-42 and...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting in November....
Presidential Election Update: Biden leads by an average of +10.3 points. Interestingly, Trump beats Biden on fixing the economy 55-45, but Biden beats Trump on bringing the country together 62-38, solving issues on race and policing 61-39, getting us through the pandemic 56-44 and handling...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so there was no “other hand”...
Kentucky Democratic Primary Polling Update: McGrath had been viewed as the strong favorite for the Democratic Senate nomination and was the recipient of hefty national financial support as McConnell’s likely opponent. But lately, Booker has taken off....