In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
A new national poll from USA Today shows Biden leads Trump by 6 points in a three-way race with a generic third-party candidate getting a substantial 8% of the vote. In a two-way race, Biden jumps up 6 points and Trump rises 2 points...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create jobs, advance medicine, lessen...
POLL SUMMARY: Only 14% of Americans think it would be safe to reopen the economy within the next two weeks and nearly half (49%) think it will take anywhere from several months to a year or longer...
TRUMP vs. BIDEN ON THE ISSUES - In the new Wall Stree Journal/NBC poll Trump leads on the economy, but Biden leads on crisis management and the coronavirus. Note that neither candidate cracks 50% on any issue tested....
ARIZONA SENATE RACE UPDATE: Mark Kelly (D) leads Sen. Martha McSally by +9. This is a marquee Senate battle that Democrats have a real shot at winning. Since last August, Kelly has led in all nine polls released…. Kelly wins independents by a lopsided...
The Lunchtime Politics Trump and Coronavirus average approval ratings are 48.3% approve/ 51% disapprove - These are from the latest nationwide polls...
This is an overview of the 29 national polls testing Biden vs. Trump that were conducted since the Iowa caucus in early February. As you can see, Biden’s general election lead has been remarkably stable throughout this tumultuous nine-week period. These polls were taken by...
The average of President Trump’s approval rating on handling the coronavirus situation continues to slip. The average we reported Sunday had it at 48%. Now it’s 45.6%, which is about the same as his overall job rating average (45%, see above)––we now have convergence of...
Biden leads Trump: +6 (47-41) in national presidential polling...
The three most recent national polls, conducted between March 30 and April 2, show President Trump’s approval rating on handling the coronavirus situation has dipped below 50%. This is a noticeable difference from the March 13-22 period, when we reported three polls showing Trump in...