In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
A majority of voters disapprove of the president’s handling of the outbreak. However, 89% of Republicans approve. The bad news for Trump: Only 34% of independents, most likely to be swing voters, approve…. Also: 43% of voters approve of Pence being given the job of...
One is tempted to declare the Democratic nomination race over. Without much money and organization, Joe Biden benefitted from a remarkable turnaround in just three days. ...
This is the latest national poll of Democratic voters––taken Sunday, March 1––and it shows Biden is the only candidate moving up. The poll was taken before Buttigieg and Klobuchar endorsed Biden…. Note that Bloomberg is in third place and Warren is fourth…...
Here’s a quick summary of tomorrow’s 14 state primaries, based on our most recent polling averages: Sanders leads in seven states: California, Texas, Virginia, Massachusetts, Colorado, Vermont and Utah. Biden leads in two states: North Carolina and Oklahoma. Klobuchar leads in one state: Minnesota, her home...
his poll shows Sanders on top––with Biden and Bloomberg in the best position to strike. Buttigieg still has some kick. Warren needs to win something, somewhere to show she’s a contender. ...
RON’S COMMENT: Will Joe Biden be the Comeback Kid? According to these polls, he’s headed to a solid victory in South Carolina, his “firewall” state…. The ECU poll, taken after last week’s debate but before this week’s debate, has Biden ahead by 8 points. But…....
While each candidate is doing what he or she thinks is necessary to win the nomination, the atmospherics of last night’s slugfest––attacks, bickering, shouting, stale sound bites––were not helpful to Democrats for the general election. ...
Between Thursday (Feb. 20) and Sunday (Feb. 23), this poll shows Sanders moving up 2 points and Bloomberg recovering a bit, going up 2 points, from 17% to 19%. Biden, Warren and Klobuchar are each down a point and Buttigieg remains the same....
Though Biden and Bloomberg have based their campaigns on their ability to beat Trump, Sanders does better than either of them. In fact, in this post-debate poll, everybody does better against Trump than Bloomberg, who loses by 3 points. More evidence that the debate damaged...
Conducted after Wednesday’s debate, this poll shows Sanders and Warren each going up 2 points and Bloomberg dropping 3 points. While Bloomberg’s fall could have been worse, it came as his campaign revs up for the big Super Tuesday showdown. Also keep in mind: This...