In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
One more week to follow the bouncing polls in Iowa! The average of these four polls shows Sanders ahead with Biden fairly close and Buttigieg third…. Observations: • Sanders leads three of the four polls (by margins ranging from 1 to 9 points) • Biden leads one...
57% of Democrats say is more important that the Democratic Party nominate a presidential candidate with a strong chance of beating Donald Trump. While 35% say it is more important the Democratic Party nominate a presidential candidate who shares their positions on major issues....
This Republican primary is for the open seat of retiring Sen. Pat Roberts (R). Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said he’s not running…. GOP politicians fear a Kobach primary win could jeopardize their party’s chances in November. Kobach, a former state Secretary of State...
RON’S COMMENT: Among Democrats––Biden wins on foreign relations and Sanders wins on healthcare and the economy (slightly). Warren, who once was seen as the field’s policy ace, now ranks third on all three issues. Bloomberg does best on the economy. None of the other candidates...
Most Americans are meat eaters, although it’s higher among those 45 and older (73%) than those under 30 (59%). Republicans tend to be omnivores more so than Democrats, but not by much (72% vs. 66%). Those under 30 are more likely to be vegetarians than...
This Iowa poll scrambles the deck, showing Biden clearly ahead with Warren second, Buttigieg third, Sanders fourth and Klobuchar within striking distance. Trends are all over the place: In three of the four most recent polls, Biden has received 23-24% in the state. One poll had...
Whoa! This poll shows Sanders ahead in New Hampshire with Buttigieg second. Biden and Warren are tied for third and Klobuchar is showing momentum…. The poll report explains that, “Among those who supported Sanders in the 2016 primary, 34% still support him, 19% support Buttigieg,...
47% of voters approve of the way President Trump is handling Iran, while 49% disapprove. This is a 4-point improvement for Trump since last week when his numbers were 43%approvle/53% disapprove. Most voters also approve of the Suleimani killing (49%)––including 85% of Republicans,...
Polls in Iowa and New Hampshire show multiple Democratic candidates bunched together with daily fluctuations. Because of that, you would have expected a more aggressive debate. But it didn’t happen. There was plenty of pent-up frustration on display, but the candidates seemed a bit tired...
Warren leads among the most liberal Democrats and Biden leads among the least liberal. Bloomberg does much better with moderate Democrats than among the most liberal ones (9% vs. 2%). Bloomberg does better among blacks than whites (8% vs. 5%). Buttigieg does much better among...