In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
The average of these two polls in Iowa put Buttigieg in first place, Biden and Sanders tied for second and Warren fourth. Buttigieg has the momentum in Iowa: Since mid-September in the Des Moines Register/CNN poll, Buttigieg has gone up 16 points, Warren has dropped...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...
28% say Donald Trump's use of Twitter is appropriate, while 61% of voters say it's inappropriate. This is one of the few areas we've seen where Republicans do not solidly back the president. While 53% of Republicans believe the president's use of Twitter is appropriate,...
A new poll from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution shows Donald Trump losing to five Democrats. This is not good news for the president. Trump carried Georgia in 2016 by 5 points. Biden beats him here by a decent margin. Georgia has voted Republican in the last...
Bloomberg’s ratings among all voters nationwide is more than two-to-one negative. This former Republican mayor’s rating among Republicans is an awful 18% favorable/56% unfavorable. Among independents, it’s 16% favorable/40% unfavorable (which may be why he’s not running for president as an independent)…. Among Democrats,...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences for organizations to reach. Increasingly, the messages and tactics that prove effective with elite audiences...
Biden leads New Hampshire again, but it’s basically a four-way race. At points in the not-too-distant past, Warren and Sanders each posted leads in the state. This poll also shows Buttigieg in contention to run second or even first––which is similar to recent Iowa polling....
Nearly half of Americans say they’re talking politics more these days––which is a lot more than the 18% who say they’re talking less politics. While 58% of Democrats say they’re talking more politics, 48% of Republicans and 26% of independents do....
Few are looking at the stock market as the best measurement of Trump's performance on the economy. The unemployment rate and the jobs report is more widely evaluated, but there are differences by partisanship: 47% of Republicans say they measure Trump based on the unemployment...
Half of the electorate believes Trump purposely withheld military aid to Ukraine in order to get the President of Ukraine to investigate allegations of corruption against the Biden family. By party: 79% of Democrats, 39% of independents and 14% Republicans say so…. Also: 51% say...