In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
New Hampshire Democrats prefer “more progressive Representatives like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” over “traditional party leaders like House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.” Note that a substantial 19% say neither. Additionally, Nearly three-fourths of New Hampshire Democrats say Warren’s claims of Native American ancestry has no effect on...
IS A RECESSION COMING? As you may know, periods of economic growth are followed by periods of recession. Do you think a recession over the next year is very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely or very unlikely? Recession is likely: 60% Recession is unlikely: 35% RON’S COMMENT: In...
This poll shows a total of 60% of Americans are concerned that the trade dispute with China will raise consumer prices in the U.S.––including 84% of Democrats, 32% of Republicans and 60% of independents. Women more than men are concerned (68% vs. 52%). Also, 55%...
Since early July in this ABC/Washington Post poll, Biden slipped 1 point, Sanders held steady, Warren went up 6 points and Harris dropped 6 points…. Most interesting, this poll shows that 55% of Democrats would still consider another candidate and only 43% say they will...
Most Americans believe weather-related disasters are more severe. Of them, 87% believe climate change is a factor (50% + 37%) in the increased severity of weather. Note: This poll was taken before the rise of Hurricane Dorian....
A recent Economist poll found 69% of voters say the Statue of Liberty's message applied in the past, only 41% say it applies now and 54% say it should apply in the future. About the same percentage of Democrats and Republicans say the Statue of...
Michigan proved to be a critical swing state in 2016 that Trump won by a tiny margin. This poll shows these four Democrats now beating him, with Biden doing best. Of course, early polls in 2016 showed Hillary Clinton beating Trump in Michigan, too. Looking...
Biden remains on top in today’s four polls. Sanders and Warren are vying for second place…. Sanders’ numbers bounce around a lot, from 12% to 24%. Warren is second in two polls and third in two. The latest Monmouth poll that had Biden in third...
Democrats want a major overhaul of the healthcare system––75% want either Medicare-for-All or a public option. Medicare as an option, however, is much more popular than it is as a replacement for private insurance (53-22). Only 18% of Democrats basically want the status quo. Another...
While most Americans are satisfied with the economy and their own personal finances, only 27% feel confident that life for their children's generation will be better than it has been for them. Two years ago, it was 35%. ...