13 Jan Iowa Dissected – NFL Players Rated – Job Market
Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, January 13
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Up 1 since Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on three polls, ranging from 43% (Reuters, The Economist) to 48% (Rasmussen). President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (-1 since Friday), which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
IOWA: DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS
Among Democratic caucusgoers statewide
Bernie Sanders: 20%
RON’S COMMENT: This Iowa poll has gotten a good bit of coverage this weekend. It has four candidates in the top tier with Sanders running first. Let’s look at internal data for Iowa’s Democratic caucusgoers:
AFRICAN AMERICANS: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among African Americans nationwide
Joe Biden: 48%
RON’S COMMENT: This Washington Post-Ipsos poll confirms what we have been seeing in this newsletter for many months now: Biden leads the Democratic field by a big margin among African Americans…. On favorability: Biden is 69% favorable/13% unfavorable among blacks. Sanders is 63% favorable/15% unfavorable. Warren is 51% favorable/12% unfavorable…. Biden’s greatest strength is his ability to beat Trump…. Among general election voters, Biden beats Trump 82-4 among blacks…. 63% of blacks want to continue President Obama’s policies while 21% want more liberal policies and 13% want more conservative policies…. 66% support Medicare-for-All…. Based on these numbers, it’s little wonder that Booker, who worked hard trying to build a base among black Democrats, has decided to drop his bid for the nomination. He was never able to gain traction.
Among adults nationwide
How worried are you about losing your job?
Very worried: 8%
RON’S COMMENT: Concern over a job loss declines with age: 37% of 18 to 29-year-olds are worried about losing their job, compared to 26% of those 45 to 64. Race is also a factor: 28% of whites are worried, compared to 42% of African-Americans.
If you lost your job, how hard would it be for you to ﬁnd a new job that paid as much as you are making now?
Very hard – I would probably have to take a pay cut: 23%
RON’S COMMENT: Here, concern grows with age. Only 14% of those 18 to 29 say it would be very hard for them to find a new job that paid as much, compared to 23% of 30-44-year-olds, 27% of 45-64-year-olds, and 28% of those 65+. There are regional differences: 35% of the Northeast say it would very hard find equal pay in a new job, compared to 16% in the Midwest, 20% in the South and 25% in the West.
How happy would you say you are with your current job?
Very happy: 25%
RON’S COMMENT: 20% of those in the Northeast say they unhappy or very unhappy about their job, much higher than those who are unhappy in other regions.
RATING NFL PLAYERS
Among adults nationwide
Best known(nationwide name awareness, 50% or higher):
Popularity(% = Favorable/Unfavorable)
RON’S COMMENT: Brady, Manning and Brees are the three best known of the players tested and Manning and Brees have the highest favorable ratings. Brees and Manning also have the best net favorability ratings at +42. Brady has the highest unfavorable rating and his net favorability is +12.
Among adults nationwide
In general, would you describe yourself as an avid sports fan, a casual sports fan or not a fan at all?
Avid sports fan: 22%
RON’S COMMENT: More men than women are avid sports fans (34% vs. 11%). Democrats and Republicans are identical, each have 23% avid fans. The demographic with the highest percentage of avid fans is Democratic men (38%). Also, 34% of Republican men are avid fans.
Generally, would you say you prefer college sports or professional sports?
Professional sports: 49%
RON’S COMMENT: Men prefer pro sports over college 56-20. For women, it’s 43-16.
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Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
IOWA: Des Moines Register/CNN/Selzer, Jan. 2-8
AFRICAN AMERICANS: Washington Post/Ipsos, Jan. 2-8
JOB CONCERNS: Economist/YouGov, Jan. 5 -7, 2020
RATING NFL QUARTERBACKS, SPORTS FANS: Morning Consult, Dec. 20-22
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux