12 Feb New Hampshire Observations, Exit Poll Data – Arkansas Primary
Your Daily Polling Update FOR Wednesday, February 12
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Down 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 43% (Politico, Quinnipiac) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 45%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (+1 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
NEW HAMPSHIRE OBSERVATIONS
By Ron Faucheux
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
% = Monmouth/The Economist/The Hill = Average
RON’S COMMENT: The race is in transition. Biden has lost his national polling perch to Sanders. Bloomberg has moved into third place, slightly overtaking Warren. While all three polls were conducted after Iowa and before the New Hampshire results were in, The Economist’s numbers are most recent.
ARKANSAS: DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Among Democratic primary voters statewide
Michael Bloomberg: 20%
RON’S COMMENT: This is the first state poll we’ve seen with Bloomberg running on top, and it’s Arkansas. The primary is March 3 with 31 delegates at stake.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: The Economist/YouGov, Feb. 9-11; The Hill/HarrisX, Feb. 7-10; Monmouth, Feb. 6-9
ARKANSAS: Talk Business & Politics/Hendrix, Feb. 6-7
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux