16 Jan Trump Support on Iran Rising – Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan
Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, January 16
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters) to 51% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (same as yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
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GENERAL ELECTION: PRESIDENTAmong voters in each stateWisconsin RON’S COMMENT: Wisconsin is a critical swing state that Trump carried by seven-tenths of a point in 2016. This poll shows a close contest for November, with Biden doing best against Trump. Wisconsin has voted Democratic in seven of the last eight presidential elections…. Trump’s job rating is 48% approve/49% disapprove in this poll. Democratic Gov. Tony Evers is 51% approve/40% disapprove. Florida RON’S COMMENT: Florida is the king of swing states. In the last six presidential elections, it voted Democratic three times and Republican three times. Trump won it in 2016 by about a point. This FAU poll shows Sanders doing best against Trump, which has raised eyebrows among some skeptical Democratic operatives…. Trump’s job rating is 45% approve/43% disapprove in this poll. GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis is 48% approve/28% disapprove. Michigan RON’S COMMENT: These numbers from Michigan are bad news for Trump and good news for several Democrats, especially Bloomberg. Trump won the state by two-tenths of a point in 2016. Before Trump’s victory, Michigan had voted Democratic in the six previous presidential elections…. Trump’s personal rating is 41% favorable/54% unfavorable in this poll. |
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES & CAUCUSESAmong Democratic voters in each stateFlorida Primary RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds a big lead in Florida’s March 17th primary, a state with 219 delegates. But: 54% of Sunshine State Democrats say they could still change their mind. Wisconsin Primary RON’S COMMENT: Biden posts a modest lead over Sanders in Wisconsin, which has 77 delegates and an April 7th primary. |
IRAN ACTIONAmong voters nationwideDo you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump is handling Iran? Approve: 47% RON’S COMMENT: This represents a 4-point improvement for Trump since last week when his numbers were 43% approve/53% disapprove. Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. airstrike in Iraq that killed Qassim Suleimani, a top Iranian general? Approve: 49% RON’S COMMENT: Most voters approve of the Suliemani killing––including 85% of Republicans, 45% of independents and 16% of Democrats. Approval for the action has risen 3 points since last week. NOTE TO SUBSCRIBERS: If you ever stop receiving Lunchtime Politics, check your spam or junk folders. Sometimes, for mysterious reasons, the newsletter may re-route to there. Please know that we will never take you off our subscriber list unless you ask us to do so. |
| SOURCES Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls. IRAN ACTION: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 11-14 FLORIDA: Florida Atlantic Univ., Jan. 9-12 WISCONSIN: Marquette, Jan. 8-12 MICHIGAN: EPIC/MRA, Jan. 9-12 |
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux
