19 Nov 18-29 Year-Olds – Impeachment Tracker – Biden Tops New Polls
Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, November 19
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on three polls, ranging from 41% (Politico) to 48% (Rasmussen). The third poll has it at 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (-2 since yesterday), which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
%=The Hill/Politico = Average
RON’S COMMENT: Two national polls of Democrats give Biden a clear lead with Sanders second and Warren third…. Since the previous poll for The Hill two weeks ago, Biden is up 4, Warren is the same, Sanders is up 4 and Buttigieg is up 1 (we thought the numbers from that previous poll looked strangely low)….Since last week’s Politico/Morning Consult poll, Warren is down 2 and the rest of the top candidates all remained the same. Note: Deval Patrick, the newest entry, isn’t getting anything in this poll.
SOUTH CAROLINA: DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Among Democratic voters statewide
Joe Biden: 33%
RON’S COMMENT: Another poll showing Biden with a big lead in South Carolina, his early primary firewall.
Among voters nationwide
Latest Polling on Support and Opposition to Impeachment
RON’S COMMENT: All five of the latest impeachment polls show more support for impeachment than opposition, but the margin varies from +2 in the latest Marist poll to +8 in the Morning Consult poll. The question wording for these polls vary, which likely accounts for some of the differences:
Marist: Based on what you know at this point, do you support or oppose the impeachment of President Trump?
YOUNG AMERICAN ATTITUDES
Among 18 to 29 year-olds nationwide
PARTISAN AFFILIATION: When it comes to voting, with which party do you consider yourself to be affiliated?
Democratic party: 40%
NEWSWATCHING: Overall, how closely do you follow news about national politics?
POLITICAL ENGAGEMENT: Do you consider yourself to be politically engaged or politically active?
Yes, politically engaged/active: 30%
BIG VS. SMALL CHANGE: Which of the following statements is closest to your own view?
I prefer policies that stand a good chance of being achieved as opposed to sweeping changes that will be difficult to carry out: 40%
ELECTORAL COLLEGE: Do you support or oppose dismantling the Electoral College to ensure that the winner of the national popular vote is elected President?
Support doing away with Electoral College: 40%
HEALTH INSURANCE: Do you support or oppose eliminating private health insurance companies so that all Americans receive health care coverage from the federal government?
CIVIC ACTIVITY: Have you participated in any of the following activities in the past 12 months?
Which current presidential candidate was born on the South Side of Chicago, received undergraduate and law degrees from Harvard, failed the California bar exam twice before passing it and later served as U.S. Assistant Attorney General?
(See answer below)
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: The Hill, Nov. 16-17; Politico/Morning Consult, Nov. 11-17
SOUTH CAROLINA: Quinnipiac, Nov. 13-17
YOUNG AMERICANS: Harvard Kennedy School, Oct. 15-28
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans.
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at email@example.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux