22 Jan 100 Senators Rated – Dems by Issue – Voting: Party or Candidate? – Iran Strike
Your Daily Polling Update for Wednesday, January 22
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 43% (Politico, Monmouth) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 46%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (same as yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
% = CNN/Morning Consult/Monmouth = Average
RON’S COMMENT: Based on the average of these three new national polls (taken after the last debate), the gap between Biden and Sanders is tightening and the gap between Sanders and Warren is widening. The two mayors, Buttigieg and Bloomberg, are about tied. Klobuchar shows some, but limited, movement.
DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES RATED ON ISSUES
Among Democratic voters nationwide
% = Foreign Relations/Healthcare/Economy
RON’S COMMENT: Among Democrats––Biden wins on foreign relations and Sanders wins on healthcare and the economy (slightly). Warren, who once was seen as the field’s policy ace, now ranks third on all three issues. Bloomberg does best on the economy. None of the other candidates have standout numbers.
IRAN STRIKE, SOLEIMANI
Among voters nationwide
As you may know, President Trump recently authorized an airstrike at Baghdad International Airport that killed Iran’s top general Qasem Soleimani. Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the airstrike?
RON’S COMMENT: 17% of Democrats, 48% of independents and 85% of Republicans approve of the airstrike. There’s a generational divide: 38% of Millennials vs. 54% of Boomers approve of the airstrike.
VOTING: PARTY OR CANDIDATE?
Among voters nationwide
Which comes closest to describing the way you vote for candidates on your ballot?
I usually vote straight ticket, all the same party, regardless of the candidate: 33%
RON’S COMMENT: 41% of Republicans, 41% of Democrats, 15% of independents, 28% of whites, 59% of blacks and 30% of Hispanics say they vote a straight party ticket.
100 SENATORS: JOB RATINGS
Among voters in each state
RON’S COMMENT: Key findings––
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: CNN, Jan. 16-19; Morning Consult, Jan. 15-19; Monmouth, Jan. 16-20
DEMOCRATS RATED ON ISSUES, IRAN STRIKE: Politico/Morning Consult, Jan. 10-12
VOTING BY PARTY, CANDIDATE: The Hill/HarrisX, Jan. 13-14
100 SENATORS: JOB RATINGS: Morning Consult, Oct. 1-Dec. 31
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux