24 Jan Mississippi Senate – Hill Leader Ratings – Infrastructure, Border Wall, Climate Change – Electability

Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, January 24
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 42% (Reuters) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 46%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 51% today (-1 since yesterday), which is 5 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATIONAmong Democratic primary voters nationwideJoe Biden: 30% RON’S COMMENT: As some other national polling has been showing, the gap between Biden and Sanders is tightening and the gap between Sanders and Warren is widening. The big surprise in this poll is Yang, running above Bloomberg and Buttigieg. That’s raised the eyebrows of more than a few suspicious Democratic operatives. |
NATIONAL: PRESIDENTAmong voters nationwideCNN: Emerson College: RON’S COMMENT: Two polls, two very different pictures of the 2020 race. CNN shows Democrats easily beating Trump. Emerson shows the race just about tied. Who to believe? We will have to wait to see how this shakes out. |
MISSISSIPPI: SENATE 2020Among voters statewideSen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) over Mike Espy (D): +8 (44-36) RON’S COMMENT: In the 2018 special Senate election, Republican Hyde-Smith defeated Democrat Espy by a 7-point margin. This was after she was appointed to fill the seat that Sen. Thad Cochran resigned…. This poll gives her an 8-point advantage in an expected rematch this November…. Espy has two opponents in the Democratic primary, Tober Bartee and Jensen Bohren …. Hyde-Smith’s job rating is 44% approve/36% disapprove, mirroring the trial heat numbers. She is the first woman elected to the Senate from Mississippi. If elected, Espy would be the first African American elected to the Senate from the state. |
CONGRESSIONAL LEADER JOB APPROVALAmong voters nationwide% = Approve/Disapprove RON’S COMMENT: Among members of their own parties: Pelosi is 74%/14% and Schumer is 59%/17% among Democrats…. McCarthy is 52%/20% and McConnell is 68%/13% among Republicans. |
LEGISLATIVE PRIORITIESAmong voters nationwideHow important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill Constructing a wall along the U.S./Mexico border Passing a bill to address climate change RON’S COMMENT: 72% say passing an infrastructure spending bill is important, 63% say passing a bill to address climate change is important and 42% say constructing a wall along the U.S./Mexico border is important. |
DEMOCRATS AND ELECTABILITYAmong Democratic voters nationwide[ASKED OF DEMOCRATS] Which is more important to you personally … ? That the Democratic Party nominate a presidential candidate with a strong chance of beating Donald Trump: 57%. RON’S COMMENT: CNN first asked this question in March of 2019. Then, 58% of Democrats said beating Trump was most important and 33% picked a candidate who shares their issues positions. Not much has changed. The groups that prioritize defeating Trump the most: women (60%), those 65+ (71%), higher income (65%) and college graduates (66%). [ASKED OF DEMOCRATS] Regardless of who you may support, which Democratic candidate for president do you think … has the best chance to beat Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election Joe Biden: 45% RON’S COMMENT: Biden maintains the perception of electability among Democrats. Good news for Sanders: his rating has nearly doubled from 13% in June to 24% now. Bad news for Warren, Buttigieg, Bloomberg, Klobuchar and Yang: They rank low on electability, all in single digits. |
SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION, Emerson College, Jan. 21-23
NATIONAL: PRESIDENT: Emerson College, Jan. 21-23; CNN, Jan. 16-19
MISSISSIPPI: Millsaps College/Chism Strategies, Jan. 2020
CONGRESSIONAL LEADER JOB APPROVAL: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 19-21
DEMOCRATS AND ELECTABILITY: CNN, Jan. 16-19
LEGISLATIVE PRIORITIES: Politico/Morning Consult, Jan. 17-19
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux