27 Jan Iowa, New Hampshire Updates – Fox Has Dems Leading – Missouri
Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, January 27
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46%
Same as Friday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 42% (Reuters) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 46%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 51% today (same as Friday), which is 5 points higher than his approval rating.
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES & CAUCUSES
Among Democratic voters in each state
RON’S COMMENT: One more week! The average of these four polls shows Sanders ahead with Biden fairly close and Buttigieg third…. Observations:
New Hampshire Primary
RON’S COMMENT: Sanders leads New Hampshire with Buttigieg and Biden vying for second place. Klobuchar has a foothold. Gabbard and Yang each show a modest level of support. Iowa’s Feb. 3 results could shuffle the deck before the Feb. 11 primary.
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds a big lead in Missouri, one of his firewall states. Bloomberg is second. The primary is March 10, a week after Super Tuesday, and 68 delegates are at stake.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
% = WaPo-ABC/Fox News = Average
RON’S COMMENT: These two national polls have the same 1,2,3,4 candidate order. Bloomberg has now overtaken Buttigieg and Yang is tying Buttigieg. The action appears to be between Biden and Sanders on top and Bloomberg moving up. Also:
Among voters nationwide
Joe Biden over Donald Trump: +9 (50-41)
RON’S COMMENT: This Fox News poll shows all six Democrats defeating Trump, with Biden and Bloomberg doing best.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
IOWA: USA Today/Suffolk, Jan. 23-26; NYT/Siena, Jan. 20-23; CBS/YouGov, Jan. 16-23
NEW HAMPSHIRE: NBC/Marist, Jan. 20-23; CNN/UNH, Jan. 15-23
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Washington Post/ABC, Jan. 20-23; Fox News, Jan/19-22
NATIONAL: PRESIDENT, Fox News, Jan. 19-22
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at email@example.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux