31 Jan Supreme Court Justices Rated – Superbowl Picks – Iowa and New Hampshire First? – Texas Senate – Dem Unity – Trump and the Economy

Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, January 31
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATIONAmong Democratic primary voters nationwideBernie Sanders: 27% RON’S COMMENT: This new national survey has Sanders edging Biden for first place…. From the poll report:
|
SENATE: TEXASAmong Democratic voters statewideDemocratic Senate primary RON’S COMMENT: Hegar, who lost a U.S. House bid in 2018, is ahead in this Senate primary––but, it’s not by much. This race is wide open, subject to the final weeks of campaigning. West is a state senator, Ramirez is a labor organizer and Bell is a former member of the U.S. House who lost races for governor and mayor of Houston…. The Democratic nominee will take on Sen. John Cornyn (R), who is seeking a fourth term. Handicappers rate the general election solid or likely Republican…. The Democratic primary is March 3. |
TRUMP AND THE ECONOMYAmong adults nationwideDo you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy? Approve: 57% RON’S COMMENT: The economy remains Trump’s ace in the hole. This new CBS poll pegs his approval on the issue at 57%, up from 50% in May…. 94% of Republicans, 26% of Democrats and 58% of independents approve of his handling of the economy |
SUPREME COURT JUSTICES: RATINGSAmong voters nationwide% = Favorable/Unfavorable RON’S COMMENT: Ginsburg is the only justice with majority favorability. Kavanaugh is the only justice with a net negative rating. Chief Justice Roberts, who recently has been busy with his Senate trial chores, has a good net positive rating. |
DEMOCRATIC UNITYAmong Democratic voters nationwide[ASKED OF DEMOCRATS ONLY] Do you think the Democratic party will unite behind whoever wins the 2020 primary, or not? Yes: 79% RON’S COMMENT: Nearly 8 in 10 Democratic voters expect to unite behind the nominee. Danger sign for Democrats: Sanders supporters are the least likely to think the party will unite––27% of them say the party will not unite. |
IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE FIRSTAmong voters nationwideThinking about the order in which states hold their presidential primaries and caucuses, which would you prefer––the current system in which Iowa and New Hampshire always come first, or a system in which other states come first? Iowa and New Hampshire first: 19% RON’S COMMENT: Not much support for keeping Iowa and New Hampshire first––only 19%. Among Democrats, only 17% favor keeping Iowa and New Hampshire first. Among Republicans, it’s 25%. |
SUPERBOWLAmong adults nationwideWhich team do you want to win the Super Bowl: the Kansas City Chiefs, the San Francisco 49ers, or don’t you care who wins the Super Bowl? Chiefs: 26% RON’S COMMENT: What’s interesting is that 50% don’t care. The poll also finds that 56% of Americans say they will watch the game (65% of men, 47% of women). |
SOURCES Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls. NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: WSJ/NBC, Jan. 26-29 TRUMP AND THE ECONOMY: CBS, Jan. 26-29 SUPREME COURT RATINGS, IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE FIRST: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 26-28 DEMOCRATIC UNITY, SUPERBOWL: Quinnipiac, Jan. 22-27 TEXAS: Texas Lyceum, Jan. 10-19 |
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux