03 Jan Random Poll Numbers – Electability – Better Off? – Senate Trial

Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, January 3
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46%
Same yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on two polls, ranging from 44% (The Economist) to 48% (Rasmussen). President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (same as yesterday), which is 6 points higher than his approval rating.
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SENATE TRIALAmong voters nationwideDo you believe the U.S. Senate will or will not conduct a fair and unbiased trial of Donald Trump? Will conduct a fair and unbiased trial: 37% RON’S COMMENT: Most voters do not think the Senate trial will be fair and unbiased. Republicans more than Democrats (55% vs. 23%) say it will be. |
BETTER OFF NOW?Among voters nationwideAre you better off now than you were four years ago? Better off now: 52% RON’S COMMENT: This data explains why Trump can win re-election despite having high negative ratings. Even 28% of Democrats say they’re better off now than they were four years ago. |
DEMOCRATS AND ELECTABILITYAmong Democrats nationwide[ASKED OF DEMOCRATS] If the candidate listed below were to become the Democratic nominee, do you think they would beat or lose to Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election? Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Pete Buttigieg RON’S COMMENT: Two-thirds of Democrats think Biden would probably beat Trump and a majority think Sanders would. Warren falls below 50% and Buttigieg comes in last. |
RANDOM POLL NUMBERSFrom Hart ResearchHart Research Associates collected a series of poll numbers, mostly from its 2019 surveys, 100%-to-1%. Here’s a selection of the findings:
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Sources
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
BETTER OFF NOW, SENATE TRIAL, DEMOCRATS AND ELECTABILITY: The Economist/YouGov, Dec. 28-31
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux