03 Jan Random Poll Numbers – Electability – Better Off? – Senate Trial
Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, January 3
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46%
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on two polls, ranging from 44% (The Economist) to 48% (Rasmussen). President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (same as yesterday), which is 6 points higher than his approval rating.
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Among voters nationwide
Do you believe the U.S. Senate will or will not conduct a fair and unbiased trial of Donald Trump?
Will conduct a fair and unbiased trial: 37%
RON’S COMMENT: Most voters do not think the Senate trial will be fair and unbiased. Republicans more than Democrats (55% vs. 23%) say it will be.
BETTER OFF NOW?
Among voters nationwide
Are you better off now than you were four years ago?
Better off now: 52%
RON’S COMMENT: This data explains why Trump can win re-election despite having high negative ratings. Even 28% of Democrats say they’re better off now than they were four years ago.
DEMOCRATS AND ELECTABILITY
Among Democrats nationwide
[ASKED OF DEMOCRATS] If the candidate listed below were to become the Democratic nominee, do you think they would beat or lose to Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election?
RON’S COMMENT: Two-thirds of Democrats think Biden would probably beat Trump and a majority think Sanders would. Warren falls below 50% and Buttigieg comes in last.
RANDOM POLL NUMBERS
From Hart Research
Hart Research Associates collected a series of poll numbers, mostly from its 2019 surveys, 100%-to-1%. Here’s a selection of the findings:
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
BETTER OFF NOW, SENATE TRIAL, DEMOCRATS AND ELECTABILITY: The Economist/YouGov, Dec. 28-31
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Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux