04 Feb Iowa, Oh Iowa – New Hampshire Polls: Sanders Ahead
Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, February 4
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 43% (CBS) to 49% (Gallup). Without these extremes, it would be 47%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 51% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 5 points higher than his approval rating…. Note that Gallup pegs Trump’s approval at 49% today, which is the highest he’s ever received from Gallup. They attributed Trump’s upswing to economic confidence, the recent military action in Iran and foreign trade.
By Ron Faucheux
NEW HAMPSHIRE: DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Among Democratic primary voters statewide
% = Boston Globe / WHDH / WCVB = Average
RON’S COMMENT: Three new polls from New Hampshire, all taken before Iowa. Our polling average today shows Sanders slightly down from yesterday’s average (-0.7), Biden is down more (-3), Warren is down (-1.7) and Buttigieg is doing a little better (+0.7).
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 28%
RON’S COMMENT: Three things to note about this national poll: First, it was completed before the Iowa caucus. Second, it’s the lowest vote percentage Biden has ever received in a Morning Consult national poll. Third, it has Bloomberg tying Warren for third place…. This poll also finds that:
Who was the only non-incumbent president to win the Iowa caucus twice?
(See answer below)
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Boston Globe/Suffolk, Feb. 2-3; WHDH/Emerson, Feb. 1-3; Boston Herald/FPU, Jan. 29-Feb. 1
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Morning Consult, Jan. 27-Feb. 2NOTE TO SUBSCRIBERS: If you ever stop receiving Lunchtime Politics, check your spam or junk folders. Sometimes, for mysterious reasons, the newsletter may re-route to there. Please know that we will never take you off our subscriber list unless you ask us to do so. TRIVIA ANSWER
Bob Dole. He won the Iowa Republican caucus in 1988 (37% of the vote) and 1996 (26% of the vote).
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at email@example.com.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux