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05 Dec Boris Johnson Leads – Important Issues – Favorability Ratings – College Students Poll

Posted at 17:15h in Lunchtime Politics by

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, December 5

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%

Same as yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 40% (Quinnipiac) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.

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POLL OF COLLEGE STUDENTS

Among voters nationwide

Bernie Sanders: 23%
Donald Trump: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 16%
Joe Biden: 12%
Andrew Yang: 9%
Pete Buttigieg: 8%
Michael Bloomberg: 3%
Cory Booker: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: This poll of college students includes Republican and Democratic candidates. It shows Sanders is the top choice with Trump running second. Another way to look at it is Trump and other Republicans (not listed) get a total of 19% and the Democrats, combined, get 77%…. Over the past two months in this poll, Sanders is up 7 points, Warren is down 4 points, Biden is down a point and Buttigieg is up 2 points.

FAVORABILITY RATINGS

Among voters nationwide

% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Donald Trump: 47% / 52%
Mike Pence: 45% / 47%
Nancy Pelosi: 41% / 52%
Chuck Schumer: 32% / 50%
Kevin McCarthy: 25% / 37%
Mitch McConnell: 31% / 53%

RON’S COMMENT: While these national leaders are generally popular among their party’s voters and very unpopular among the opposing party’s voters, let’s look at how they’re doing among independents, who are most likely to be swing voters in the next election: Trump 38%/47%, Pence 37%/32%, Pelosi 24%/46%, Schumer 20%/41%, McCarthy 18%/28%, McConnell 23%/ 39%.

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE

Among adults nationwide

Health care: 18%
The economy: 15%
Social Security: 12%
Immigration: 11%
The environment: 11%
Terrorism: 6%
Gun control: 6%
Education: 5%
Medicare: 5%
Abortion: 4%
The budget deficit: 3%
Taxes: 2%
Foreign policy: 2%
Gay rights: 1%
The war in Afghanistan: 0%

RON’S COMMENT: Not much movement over the past two months: Healthcare is the same, the economy is up 1, immigration is the same and the environment is down 2. The latest poll continues to show big differences by party:

  • The top three issues for Democrats are healthcare (25%), the environment (20%) and Social Security (11%).
  • The top three issues for Republicans are the economy (22%), immigration (22%) and Social Security (12%).
  • The top three issues for independents are healthcare (19%), the economy (14%) and Social Security (12%).
  • Only Social Security made all three of the top three lists.

UK GENERAL ELECTION: 2019

Among voters in Great Britain

% = Average of two most recent polls
Conservative:42%
Labour: 32.5%
Lib Dems: 12%
SNP: 4.5%
Brexit: 3.5%
Green: 3%

RON’S COMMENT: The campaigning period is on and Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party is in first place. Over the past three weeks the Brexit Party has been sliding. The general election is a week from today, on Dec. 12.

Sources

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
POLL OF COLLEGE STUDENTS: Axios/College Reaction, Dec. 2-4
FAVORABILITY RATINGS, MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE: The Economist/YouGov, Dec. 1-3
UK GENERAL ELECTION: SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph, Dec. 2-3; YouGov/The Times/Sky News, Dec. 2-3

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Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux
rfaucheux@certusinsights.com

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.