06 Dec Banning Offensive Speech – Teen, Tween Media Usage – Obamacare – Trump vs. Generic Dem – California
Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, December 6
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Despite the impeachment controversy, President Trump’s job rating holds steady. Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Politico, Quinnipiac) to 52% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.
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CALIFORNIA: DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Among Democratic primary voters statewide
Bernie Sanders: 24%
RON’S COMMENT: This was the last poll of California Democrats taken while Harris was still in the race. It shows her running fifth in her home state…. When Harris’ votes are distributed, the trial heat shifts to Sanders 25%, Warren 24%, Biden 17% and Buttigieg 13%. Interestingly, Biden picks up more from Harris’ departure than any other candidate. The California primary is March 3.
TRUMP VS. GENERIC DEMOCRAT
Among voters nationwide
If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for?
Democratic candidate: 48% (-1 from two weeks ago)
RON’S COMMENT: The “generic” Democrat is now ahead by 6 points, two weeks ago it was 9 points.
Among adults nationwide
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, signed into law by President Obama that restructured the U.S. healthcare system?
RON’S COMMENT: 84% of Democrats, 53% of independents and 11% of Republicans approve of Obamacare. There has been little movement, with attitudes almost identical to last year.
BANNING OFFENSIVE SPEECH
Among voters statewide
Banning Speech: Should federal or state governments ban speech by individuals that a majority of Americans believes to be offensive, including speech considered to be racist or sexist?
Banning from Public Office: Should those who say or write things a majority of Americans believes to be offensive, including speech considered to be racist or sexist, be banned from holding public office, such as becoming a member of Congress or president of the United States?
TWEEN AND TEEN MEDIA USAGE
Among 8 to 18-year-olds nationwide
Here are the findings of a recent Common Sense Census survey of 8 to 18-year-olds on media usage:
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
CALIFORNIA DEM PRIMARY: Berkeley IGS, Nov. 21-27
TWEEN AND TEEN: Common Sense Media, March 11 – April 3
OBAMACARE: Gallup, Nov. 1-14
BANNING SPEECH AND HOLDING OFFICE: Heartland Institute/Rasmussen, Nov. 13-14
TRUMP VS. GENERIC DEMOCRAT: The Economist/YouGov, DEC. 1-3
Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.
Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux