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07 Nov Quid Pro Quo – Iowa Update – Americans Look at British Politicians

Posted at 17:05h in Lunchtime Politics by

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, November 7

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 43%

Down 1 from yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Reuters) to 46% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (+1 from yesterday), which is 11 points higher than his approval rating.

NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION

Among Democratic primary voters nationwide

Joe Biden: 23%
Elizabeth Warren: 23%
Bernie Sanders: 20%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Kamala Harris: 5%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Cory Booker: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows Biden and Warren fighting for the top spot with Sanders close behind. Since this poll’s September sampling, Biden is down 2 points, Warren is down 5 points, Sanders is up 5 points and Buttigieg is up 4 points…. Who can beat Trump? This poll shows 51% of Democrats giving Biden 8-10 points on a 10-point electability scale, Warren is not far behind at 49% and Sanders at 48%…. Interestingly, two of the four most recent polls put Biden in the 30s (32-33%) and two put him in the 20s (23-26%). Three of these polls have Warren second and one has her third.

IOWA: DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS

Among Democratic caucus-goers statewide

Elizabeth Warren: 20%
Pete Buttigieg: 19%
Bernie Sanders: 17%
Joe Biden: 15%
Amy Klobuchar: 5%
Kamala Harris: 4%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: This is the third Iowa poll in a row showing Biden running fourth in Iowa, an inauspicious place to be for a frontrunner. Two out of these three recent polls put Buttigieg in second place.

QUID PRO QUO

Among voters nationwide

Do you think Donald Trump purposely withheld military aid to Ukraine in order to get the president of Ukraine to investigate allegations of corruption against the Biden family?

Yes: 50%
No: 36%
Not sure: 13%

RON’S COMMENT: Half of the electorate believes there was a quid pro quo. By party: 79% of Democrats, 39% of independents and 14% Republicans say so…. Also: 51% say that if there was a quid pro quo, it’s an impeachable offense and 37% say it’s not.

AMERICANS LOOK AT BRITISH POLITICIANS

Among voters nationwide

Who do you think should be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Boris Johnson, leader of Conservative Party: 36%
Jeremy Corbyn, leader of Labour Party: 24%
A leader of one of the other parties: 11%

RON’S COMMENT: Among U.S. voters, 11% of Democrats, 35% of independents and 65% of Republicans prefer to see Johnson as Prime Minister in Britain.

Sources

Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Monmouth, Oct. 30-Nov. 3
IOWA: DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS: Quinnipiac, Oct. 30-Nov. 5
QUID PRO QUO, AMERICANS LOOK AT BRITISH POLITICS: The Economist/You Gov, Nov. 3-5

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux
rfaucheux@certusinsights.com

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.