PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Among general election voters
Nationwide Popular Vote
(Fox) Biden +5 (51-46)
Average of last four polls: Biden +7.3
RON’S COMMENT: From the Fox poll’s internal data:
- 68% of Biden’s voters and 68% of Trump’s voters are “extremely interested”in this election. Another 20-22% are “very interested.”
- Favorability ratings: Biden 54% favorable/45% unfavorable, Harris 51% favorable/44% unfavorable, Trump 46% favorable/53% unfavorable and Pence 48% favorable/49% unfavorable.
- Trump’s approval ratings on issues: the economy 53%, foreign policy 46%, immigration 45%, healthcare 45%, race relations 40%.
- Among likely voters, Biden beats Trump on “policing and criminal justice issues” 52-45.
In the States
States Trump carried in 2016:
ARIZONA (CBS): Biden +3
ARIZONA (Gravis): Biden +2
WISCONSIN (NYT):Biden +5
NORTH CAROLINA(Rasmussen):Trump +2
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds the lead in Arizona, but Trump is still pressing him in a close contest. Trump is helped in the state by two issues: energy exploration and manufacturing…. North Carolina has become one of the most interesting states. The Rasmussen poll, which often shows Trump doing better than other polls, has the president slightly ahead. The three previous polls had Biden ahead by narrow leads.
States Clinton carried in 2016:
MINNESOTA (CBS): Biden +9
MINNESOTA (NYT): Biden +9
NEVADA (NYT):Biden +4
NEW HAMPSHIRE (NYT): Biden +3
OREGON (DHM): Biden +12
RON’S COMMENT: If recent polling is any indication, Minnesota appears increasingly out of reach for Trump––a state he lost by a small margin in 2016. The last four polls put Biden ahead by an average of 8.8 points…. Nevada and New Hampshire are worth watching, they may be the only Hillary Clinton states that Trump has a shot at carrying this time. Trump lost Nevada by 2 points and New Hampshire by less than a point in 2016. |
