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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Arizona – Trump Issue Approval – Impeachment – Trump Vs. Generic Democrat


Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, August 23


Same as yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 41% (Monmouth, CNN) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 43%. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.


Among voters statewide

Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R): +2 (45-43)
Donald Trump (R) over Elizabeth Warren (D): +1 (44-43)
Donald Trump (R) over Pete Buttigieg (D): +5 (43-38)
Donald Trump (R) over Kamala Harris (D): +9 (45-36)
Donald Trump (R) over Bernie Sanders (I/D): +10 (44-34)

RON’S COMMENT: Trump carried Arizona by nearly 4 points in 2016. In this poll, Biden edges him by 2 points, although Trump leads the other four Democrats tested. These numbers are particularly bad for Sanders and Harris, who are currently out of contention in this potential swing state…. Since May, Biden’s vote against Trump has declined from 49% to 45%, while Warren’s has increased slightly from 42% to 43%. Arizona voted Republican in 16 of the last 17 presidential elections.


Among voters nationwide

If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for? 

Democratic candidate: 48% (-2 since last week)
Trump: 40% (+1 since last week)
It depends: 10%

RON’S COMMENT: The “generic” Democrat was ahead by 11 points last week, it’s now 8 points.


Among voters nationwide

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling…” 

% = Approve/Disapprove
The economy: 50%/43%
Veterans: 48%/40%
Terrorism: 46%/46%
Immigration: 46%/50%
Foreign policy: 45%/50%
Taxes: 44%/49%
Abortion: 41%/48%
Civil rights: 41%/50%
Healthcare: 41%/52%
Women’s rights: 40%/48%
Education: 40%/48%
The environment: 40%/53%
Social Security: 39%/46%
Medicare: 39%/48%
Gun control: 39%/52%
Gay rights: 35%/48%
The budget deficit: 35%/57%

RON’S COMMENT: Last time we reported these numbers, Trump was net positive on three issues: the economy, veterans and terrorism. Now, he’s net positive two issues, the economy (+7) and veterans (+8) and is even on terrorism. His worst issue continues to be the budget deficit (-22).


Among voters nationwide

Do you think President Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave the Presidency, or not? 

Yes, should: 35%
No, should not: 61%
Don’t know: 5%

RON’S COMMENT: Nancy Pelosi is right. Impeachment is a loser issue for Democrats. This poll finds that 30% of independents, 69% of Democrats and 2% of Republicans favor impeachment and removal from office…. Most voters prefer to use the ballot box to oust the president: While this poll finds that only a little more than a third of the electorate wants to impeach and remove Trump, it also finds that a solid 57% majority would prefer someone else in office.


Among voters nationwide

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following groups in Congress? 

% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Democrats in Congress: 43%/53%
Republicans in Congress: 32%/63%

RON’S COMMENT: Both parties are net negative, although Democrats continue to do better. Independents rate both Congressional parties about the same on favorability.


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Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
ARIZONA: OHPI, Aug. 13-14
IMPEACHMENT: Monmouth Univ., Aug. 16-20

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux
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Ron Faucheux

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.