Among voters in each state
Trump over Biden: +3 (48-45)
Trump over Sanders: +7 (49-42)
RON’S COMMENT: This poll is good news for Trump––showing him leading a key state with a bigger margin than he won it with in 2016––when he carried the Sunshine State by a narrow 1.2 points. In the last six presidential elections, Republicans won the Florida three times and Democrats won it three times.
Biden over Trump: +4 (49-45)
RON’S COMMENT: Democrats will love this poll––it shows Biden winning Ohio, a state Trump won in 2016 by a substantial 8 points. Democrats have won Ohio in four of the last seven presidential elections.
(Monmouth) Biden over Trump: +3 (46-43)
(NBC) Biden over Trump: +1 (47-46)
RON’S COMMENT: Biden having any lead in Arizona is good for Democrats. Trump won the state last time by 3.6 points. It’s voted Republican in the last five presidential elections. From the Monmouth poll report:
- About half the state’s voters (49%) say the federal government has done a good job handling the outbreak, while 43% say it has done a bad job. Similarly, 49% say Trump has done a good job handling the outbreak, while 46% say he has done a bad job.
- While Arizona voters are divided on the president’s handling of the COVID-19 situation, overall opinion of him is underwater. Currently, 41% have a favorable view of Trump and 50% hold an unfavorable opinion, with another 10% offering no opinion.
- Biden has a 36% favorable and 38% unfavorable rating among state voters, but 1 in 4 (26%) have no opinion of him.