PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Among general election voters
Nationwide Popular Vote
(WSJ/NBC) Biden +11 (53-42)
(Reuters) Biden +10 (51-41)
(IBD/TIPP) Biden +8 (50-42-3)
(The Hill) Biden +7 (47-40)
(Rasmussen) Biden +5 (50-45)
Today’s average: Biden +8.2
RON’S COMMENT: Except for The Hill poll, Biden is at or above 50% in all the other surveys.
In the States
States Trump carried in 2016
FLORIDA(Reuters): Biden +2
FLORIDA(St. Pete): Biden +2
FLORIDA(Trafalgar-R): Trump +2
ARIZONA (Reuters): Biden +4
ARIZONA (OH Pred.): Biden +3
ARIZONA (Monmouth): Biden +7
NORTH CAROLINA (NYT): Biden +4
OHIO (Quinnipiac): Biden +1
GEORGIA (Quinnipiac): Biden +7
INDIANA (SurveyUSA): Trump +7
States Clinton carried in 2016
MAINE (Pan Atlantic): Biden +10
VIRGINIA (Roanoke Coll.): Biden +15
RON’S COMMENT: Ohio is getting interesting. Trump won it by 8 points in 2016, but it’s competitive now. Ohio is a “must win” for Trump…. The Arizona polls look good for Biden…. Three Florida polls––two have Biden ahead and one has Trump on top. The other polls show Biden leading North Carolina and Georgia––the former has been in play, but the latter would be a bonus…. Keep in mind that Quinnipiac often shows Democrats doing better than other polls do, and Trafalgar often shows Republicans doing better than do other polls…. Trump is ahead in Indiana, a state he carried in 2016 by 19 points. |