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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Conviction? – New Polling for NYC Mayor – Biden and the Virus – Marjorie Taylor Greene

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, February 11


Down 1 from Saturday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 49% (Emerson College) to 59% (Politico). Without these extremes it would still be 54%…. Biden’s disapproval rating averages 40% today (+3 from Saturday).


Among voters nationwide

Now that the U.S. House of Representatives has voted to impeach Donald Trump, do you think the U.S. Senate should or should not vote to convict him? 

Yes, should convict: 49%
Should not convict: 44%
Not sure: 7%

RON’S COMMENT: In the poll, 83% of Democrats, 7% of Republicans and 43% of independents favor conviction. But, it should be noted that this poll was conducted before yesterday’s heavy coverage of the presentation of the case against Trump.


Among voters nationwide

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling COVID-19? 

Approve: 53%
Disapprove: 35%

RON’S COMMENT: 18% of Republicans, 44% of independents and 89% of Democrats approve of Biden’s handling of the pandemic…. Also:

  • Of those voters who have heard about Biden’s $1.9 trillion pandemic aid package, 63% approve of it and 32% disapprove. Nearly a third of Republicans approve of it.
  • BUT: Only 44% of all voters surveyed are confident in the Biden administration’s ability to effectively distribute the vaccine and 39% are uneasy about it.


Among voters nationwide

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of [Marjorie Taylor Greene]? 

Favorable: 24%
Unfavorable: 51%
Don’t know: 26%

RON’S COMMENT: Poll internals––

  • 40% of Republicans are favorable toward Republican U.S. Rep. Greene and 24% are unfavorable
  • 24% of independents are favorable and 47% are unfavorable
  • 9% of Democrats are favorable and 65% are unfavorable
  • This poll also finds that 51% of voters nationwide approved of taking away Greene’s committees in the House, while 31% disapproved. A total of 17% of Republicans favored taking away her committees.


Among Democratic voters citywide

Democratic primary
Andrew Yang: 28%
Eric Adams: 17%
Scott Stringer: 13%
Maya Wiley: 8%
Shaun Donovan: 8%
Kathryn Garcia: 2%
Ray McGuire: 2%
Diane Morales: 2%
Zach Iscol: 1%

RON’S COMMENT: The three best known candidates are Yang (known by 84% of likely primary voters), Stringer (66%) and Adams (60%). They’re also the top three vote-getters at this point in a race that is seen as being highly fluid….The poll did not test a full ranked-choice voting grid, but found that at least half the voters surveyed say they could vote for Yang, Stringer and Adams; 47% say they could vote for Donovan and 45% for Wiley…. Incumbent Mayor Bill de Blasio is term-limited and can’t run again….The primary is June 22 and general election Nov. 2; ranked-choice voting will be usedOnly 41% of voters have heard “a lot” or “some” about the new voting system…. Who are the candidates?

  • Yang is an entrepreneur and recent Democratic presidential candidate
  • Adams is Brooklyn Borough president and supported by Edolphus Towns
  • Stringer is City Comptroller and supported by Jerry Nadler, Adriano Espaillat and Jamaal Bowman
  • Wiley is a New School professor and former counsel to de Blasio
  • Donovan was Obama’s Secretary of HUD and Director of OMB
  • Garcia is former Sanitation Commissioner
  • McGuire is a former Citigroup executive and is supported by Valerie Jarrett and Spike Lee
  • Morales formerly ran a social services non-profit
  • Zach Iscol is a nonprofit executive and former Marine


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Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW YORK MAYOR: Fontas Advisors/Core Decision Analytics, Jan. 20-25

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.