NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 32%
Elizabeth Warren: 22%
Bernie Sanders: 17%
Kamala Harris: 5%
Pete Buttigieg: 4%
Beto O’Rourke: 3%
Andrew Yang: 2%
Cory Booker: 2%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows Biden on top nationally, and by a decent margin. Of the last six national polls, two have shown Biden ahead and four have shown Warren in first place. In this sounding, Biden beats Warren 33-22 among women, 30-22 among men, 31-26 among whites and 34-14 among nonwhites. Warren leads among second-choice votes over Biden 24-13.
Sanders’ health impact
[ASKED AMONG DEMOCRATS] Are you more or less likely to vote for Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary because of concerns about his health, or does that not make much difference either way?
More likely to vote for Sanders: 15%
Less likely to vote for Sanders: 31%
No difference: 50%
RON’S COMMENT: Sanders’ health situation is not helping his campaign prospects. Though half of Democrats say it makes no difference to them, of those who say it does, it’s working against him by more than two-to-one (31% vs. 15%). Moreover, 42% of white college grads (Warren’s best constituency) say it makes them less likely to vote for Sanders and only 9% say more likely.