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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Georgia Senate Update, New Numbers

Your Daily Polling Update for Sunday, December 20

U.S. SENATE ELECTIONS

Among voters statewide

GEORGIA (Special Election)
(Emerson) Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) over Raphael Warnock (D): +3 (51-48)
(Trafalgar-R) Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) over Raphael Warnock (D): +6 (52-46)
Average of last three polls: Loeffler +3.3

GEORGIA (Regular Election)
(Emerson) Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +3 (51-48)
(Trafalgar-R) Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +2 (50-48)
Average of last three polls: Perdue +2

COMMENT: Both new polls show Republicans Loeffler and Perdue leading, but it’s still close enough for turnout to be decisive.

  • How did the polls do in November? The final polling average for the November 3 election in Georgia had Ossoff ahead of Perdue by 1.2 points; in the actual election, Perdue led by 1.8 points. The final Emerson College poll in November showed Ossoff ahead by 1 point.

SELECTION OF TV ADS IN GEORGIA SENATE RACE

Perdue ads:
https://youtu.be/5BUUWuGrZzc
https://youtu.be/U02uE2o57GE
https://youtu.be/Kww8w6Ydfls
https://youtu.be/8jMAOFuqN1Q

Ossoff ads:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WK8OhS4NgX8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXsduF1J0kA
https://thegrio.com/2020/12/10/jon-ossoff-campaign-ad-the-talk/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TscqODJSHnE

Warnock and Ossoff:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9RJosAtsn4

Anti-Ossoff:
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/12/17/sen-david-perdue-campaign-releases-ad-democrat-georgia-senate-candidate-jon-ossoffs-shady-china-connection/

Anti-Warnock and Ossoff:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/12/18/georgia-gop-attack-ad-runoff-stakes/

Anti-Perdue:
https://www.newsweek.com/veterans-group-almost-2-milion-perdue-advert-1555906

We will have more ads as we get closer to the election.

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Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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About Us

 

Ron Faucheux
rfaucheux@certusinsights.com

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.