DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic caucusgoers/primary voters in each state
IOWA CAUCUS
Joe Biden: 28%
Elizabeth Warren: 19%
Kamala Harris: 11%
Bernie Sanders: 9%
Pete Buttigieg: 8%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Andrew Yang: 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds first place in Iowa and Warren, now second, is leaving Sanders in the dust. Warren, who moved up 12 points since April, still has room for more growth: She has the best favorability rating among Democrats in the state: 76% favorable/14% unfavorable. While Biden maintains the voter support he had in April, his favorable rating has slipped from 78% to 73%. Sanders is 58% favorable/33% unfavorable, a decline from 67%-26% four months ago…. Recent entrant Steyer now leads O’Rourke and Booker, and ties Klobuchar, in Iowa.
CALIFORNIA PRIMARY
Joe Biden: 25%
Elizabeth Warren: 21%
Bernie Sanders: 18%
Kamala Harris: 17%
Pete Buttigieg: 6%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Andrew Yang: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: This California poll is bad news for Harris. After five weeks of heavy media attention, she’s running fourth in her home state. This big, early primary offers a boatload of delegates…. Electability: 43% of primary voters say Biden has the best chance to defeat Trump, while 15% say Warren, 14% say Sanders and 10% say Harris…. Among African American voters, Harris leads with 39%, Biden is second with 31% and Sanders is third at 17%. Among Hispanics, Biden (26%) and Sanders (24%) are battling for the lead. Warren is third at 18%…. Recent entrant Steyer now leads O’Rourke and Booker, and ties Klobuchar, in California.
NORTH CAROLINA
Joe Biden: 36%
Bernie Sanders: 15%
Elizabeth Warren: 13%
Kamala Harris: 8%
Pete Buttigieg: 5%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds a wide lead in this primary. Among African American voters, Biden wipes out the field: He wins 57%, followed by Sanders (10%), Warren (7%) and Harris (5%). Harris does much better with North Carolina’s whites (9%) and Hispanics (11%) than blacks…. Biden’s strength is generational: He gets 58% of voters 65 and older, while his support level among voters 18-34 is 22% and 27% among voters 35-49.
PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY
Joe Biden: 28%
Elizabeth Warren: 21%
Bernie Sanders: 12%
Kamala Harris: 8%
Pete Buttigieg: 6%
Cory Booker: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Biden leads Pennsylvania, the state where he was born. But Warren is narrowing the gap, now running a respectable second. Warren also leads among second choice votes. |
