Among general election voters
Biden over Trump: +16 (55-39)
RON’S COMMENT: This new poll is very bad news for Trump. In 2016, he carried Michigan by two-tenths of a point…. According to the survey report, the percentage of voters in the state with “a negative view of Trump as president rose from 56% to 61%, as the percentage of those with a positive view fell from 42% to 38%.”
Trump over Biden: +1 (44-43)
RON’S COMMENT: Though Trump still leads Iowa, he won the state in 2016 by nearly 10 points. In the last four presidential elections, the state voted Democratic twice and Republican twice.
Trump over Biden: +2 (47-45)
RON’S COMMENT: Trump won Arkansas in 2016 by a gigantic 27-point margin, which is why a poll showing him only 2 points ahead will alarm his campaign.
Trump over Biden: +8 (51-43)
RON’S COMMENT: An 8-point lead is a solid advantage, but keep in mind Trump won Missouri last time by nearly 19 points.
Biden over Trump: +14 (53-39)
RON’S COMMENT: Republicans had hoped they could turn this blue state red, but this poll shows that will be difficult. Trump lost New Mexico in 2016 by 8 points.