Among general election voters
Biden over Trump: +12 (56-44)
Average of four most recent polls: Biden +10.3
RON’S COMMENT: This new Harvard-Harris poll shows approval of the Republican Party has fallen from 48% to 41% over the past two months. Democratic Party approval has declined slightly from 47% to 46%…. This poll also reports personal ratings as follows:
- Donald Trump: 39% favorable/56% unfavorable (his hard negative is more than twice his hard positive, 45% vs. 22%)
- Joe Biden: 47% favorable/44% unfavorable (his hard negative is 28%, hard positive 19%)
- Mike Pence: 41% favorable/45% unfavorable
- Barack Obama: 59% favorable/35% unfavorable
- Bill Clinton: 45% favorable/44% unfavorable
- Hillary Clinton: 37% favorable/56% unfavorable
- William Barr: 26% favorable/36% unfavorable
- Also: Trump beats Biden on fixing the economy 55-45, but Biden beats Trump on bringing the country together 62-38, solving issues on race and policing 61-39, getting us through the pandemic 56-44 and handling relations with China 54-46.
Biden over Trump: +16 (58-42)
RON’S COMMENT: This state has voted Democratic in the last eleven presidential elections. However, Hillary Clinton’s margin over Trump in Minnesota was only 1.5 points.
Biden over Trump: +1 (46-45-5)
RON’S COMMENT: What to think of Michigan? This poll, taken by a GOP-oriented outfit, has Biden edging Trump by a point. Of the previous three polls, one had Biden ahead by 2 points and the other two had him on top by 13-16 points. In 2016, Trump carried this important state by two-tenths of a point.
Trump over Biden: +3 (46-43)
RON’S COMMENT: The average of the four most recent polls in this state show it smack even…. While voters who are “very liberal” vote for Biden 83-5 and voters who are “very conservative” vote for Trump 85-11, voters who call themselves “moderates” vote for Biden 64-21––which is a good reason for the Democrats not to move too far left; in a state like North Carolina, Biden needs to do well among moderates to be competitive…. Trump won North Carolina in 2016 by nearly 4 points. Though Republicans have won the state in nine of the last ten presidential elections, it’s commonly viewed as a critical swing state based on close races in recent elections.
Biden over Trump: +7 (49-42)
RON’S COMMENT: Though a small state with only 4 electoral votes, it’s well worth watching. Hillary Clinton won New Hampshire by a mere four-tenths of a point, but Democrats won it in four of the last five presidential elections.