Among general election voters
Nationwide Popular Vote
(Yahoo News) Biden +12 (51-39-2)
(USC) Biden +12 (54-42)
(CNBC) Biden +11 (51-40)
(IBD/TIPP) Biden +5 (51-46-2)
(Rasmussen) Biden +2 (49-47)
Average of today’s polls: Biden +8.4
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s polling falls into two categories––surveys that give Biden wide double-digit leads and those that give him modest single-digit leads. When averaged, they’re showing Biden within the 7- to 9-point margin range we’ve been seeing for a while.
- Tracking: Yesterday we reported the USC poll had Biden 10 points ahead, today it’s 12 points; yesterday we reported the IDB/TIPP poll had Biden 7 points ahead, today it’s 5 points; yesterday we reported the Rasmussen poll had Trump 1 point ahead, today Biden leads by 2 points.
- Bottom line: While Biden’s lead bounces from poll to poll, the most recent national polling shows him leading across-the-board and most of the polls have him at or above 50%.
In the States
States Trump carried in 2016
PENNSYLVANIA (Civiqs): Biden +7
PENNSYLVANIA (Reuters): Biden +5
PENNSYLVANIA (Trafalgar-R): Even
PENNSYLVANIA (Insider Advantage): Trump +2
FLORIDA (FAU): Biden +2
FLORIDA (PoliticalIQ): Biden +2
WISCONSIN (Reuters): Biden +9
States Clinton carried in 2016
NEVADA (UNLV): Biden +9
MARYLAND (Gonzales): Biden +25
CALIFORNIA (Berkeley IGS): Biden +36
RON’S COMMENT: Conflicting polls in much-watched Pennsylvania. If the fracking issue is hurting Biden, we may not have seen its full extent yet…. Wisconsin looks good today for Biden and so does Florida, although the Sunshine State remains tight….. Trump’s campaign had hoped they could pick up Nevada this time, but this poll shows that possibility may be out of reach.