PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Among general election voters

Nationwide Popular Vote

(Yahoo News) Biden +12 (51-39-2)
(USC) Biden +12 (54-42)
(CNBC) Biden +11 (51-40)
(IBD/TIPP) Biden +5 (51-46-2)
(Rasmussen) Biden +2 (49-47)
Average of today’s polls: Biden +8.4

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s polling falls into two categories––surveys that give Biden wide double-digit leads and those that give him modest single-digit leads. When averaged, they’re showing Biden within the 7- to 9-point margin range we’ve been seeing for a while.

• Tracking: Yesterday we reported the USC poll had Biden 10 points ahead, today it’s 12 points; yesterday we reported the IDB/TIPP poll had Biden 7 points ahead, today it’s 5 points; yesterday we reported the Rasmussen poll had Trump 1 point ahead, today Biden leads by 2 points.
• Bottom line: While Biden’s lead bounces from poll to poll, the most recent national polling shows him leading across-the-board and most of the polls have him at or above 50%.

In the States

States Trump carried in 2016

PENNSYLVANIA (Civiqs): Biden +7
PENNSYLVANIA (Reuters): Biden +5
PENNSYLVANIA (Trafalgar-R): Even
PENNSYLVANIA (Insider Advantage): Trump +2

FLORIDA (FAU): Biden +2
FLORIDA (PoliticalIQ): Biden +2

WISCONSIN (Reuters): Biden +9

States Clinton carried in 2016
NEVADA (UNLV): Biden +9
MARYLAND (Gonzales): Biden +25
CALIFORNIA (Berkeley IGS): Biden +36

RON’S COMMENT: Conflicting polls in much-watched Pennsylvania. If the fracking issue is hurting Biden, we may not have seen its full extent yet…. Wisconsin looks good today for Biden and so does Florida, although the Sunshine State remains tight….. Trump’s campaign had hoped they could pick up Nevada this time, but this poll shows that possibility may be out of reach.

SENATE ELECTIONS

Among voters in each state

NORTH CAROLINA (Trafalgar-R)
Sen. Thom Tillis (R) over Cal Cunningham (D): +2 (49-47)

COMMENT: Still in play, anything can happen. This Republican-affiliated poll, which often shows Republicans doing better than other polls, puts incumbent Tillis slightly ahead. Of the four prior polls, Cunningham led two by 6 points and the other two were tied.

TUESDAY TRIVIA

Since 1824, which presidential candidate received the highest percentage of popular votes?

(See answer below)

SUBSCRIBE

Click here to forward this message to a friend or client.
You can sign up here to receive Lunchtime Politics in your inbox everyday. Follow LunchtimePolitics on Twitter.

Subscription note: If you ever stop receiving Lunchtime Politics, check your spam or junk folders. Sometimes, for mysterious reasons, the newsletter may re-route to there. Please know that we will never take you off our subscriber list unless you ask us to do so.

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes daily, Monday thru Friday, between now and the Nov. 3 election. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

TRIVIA ANSWER

Lyndon Johnson. In 1964, he received 61.05% of the national popular vote. Following him was Franklin Roosevelt in 1936 (60.8%) and Richard Nixon in 1972 (60.67%).
It should be noted that James Monroe received 80.61% of the popular votes cast in 1820, but only 15 of the 24 states chose electors by popular votes. Monroe also did not have organized opposition.