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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Removal from Office – Capitol Rioting – Protecting Democracy – Georgia Polls Came Close

Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, January 11

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 42%

RON’S COMMENT: At 42%, Trump’s job approval is about 5 points lower than the vote he received in the November election…. Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 38% (Politico) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would be 41%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 56% today…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020  at approval trend.

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics will continue to publish periodically to report the latest polling data. Thanks to all our readers and best of health in the new year, Ron

HOW THE POLLS DID: GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFFS

SPECIAL ELECTION: The final Lunchtime Politics poll average showed Raphael Warnock (D) leading Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) by seven-tenths of a point. In the actual electionWarnock won by 2 points.

  • Most accurate: The Targoz poll had Warnock ahead by 2 points.
  • Least accurate: The Trafalgar (R) poll had Loeffler ahead by 2 points (margin off by 4 points).

REGULAR ELECTION: The final Lunchtime Politics poll average showed Jon Ossoff (D) leading Sen. David Perdue (R) by seven-tenths of a pointOssoff won by 1.2 points.

  • Most accurate: The National Research/Preserve America (R) poll had Ossoff ahead by 1 point.
  • Least accurate: The Univ. of Nevada/Las Vegas poll had Perdue ahead by 1 point. (Even though their final poll indicated the wrong winner, it still came pretty close; their margin was off by only 2.2 points.)

REMOVAL FROM OFFICE

Among adults nationwide

Do you think Donald Trump should or should not be removed from office before his term ends? 

Should be removed: 56%
Should NOT be removed: 43%

RON’S COMMENT: A clear majority want to see Trump removed from office. By party: 94% of Democrats, 58% of independents and 13% of Republicans believe he should be removed.

BLAME FOR CAPITOL RIOTING

Among adults nationwide

How much blame do you think Donald Trump deserves for the rioting that occurred in Washington D.C. this week? 

A great deal/a good amount: 67%
Not so much/not at all: 33%

RON’S COMMENT: 31% of Republicans, 69% of independents and 98% of Democrats blame Trump for the rioting at the Capitol.

PROTECTING DEMOCRACY

Among adults nationwide

How much do you trust each of the following to protect democracy in the United States? 

Donald Trump
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 30%
Trust not so much/not at all: 69%

Joe Biden
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 53%
Trust not so much/not at all: 45%

Mike Pence
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 39%
Trust not so much/not at all: 58%

Republicans in Congress
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 32%
Trust not so much/not at all: 68%

Democrats in Congress
Trust a great deal/a good amount: 47%
Trust not so much/not at all: 51%

RON’S COMMENT: On the fundamental question of protecting American democracy, nearly seven out of ten voters have little or no trust in Trump. A majority, however, trust Biden…. Interestingly, majorities trust neither Republicans nor Democrats in Congress, although Republicans do much worse.

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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
REMOVAL FROM OFFICE, CAPITOL RIOTING, PROTECTING DEMOCRACY: ABC/Ipsos, Jan. 8-9

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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About Us
Ron Faucheux
rfaucheux@certusinsights.com

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.