Among general election voters
(Economist) Biden over Trump: +7 (48-41)
(The Hill) Biden over Trump: +7 (45-38)
(Rasmussen) Biden over Trump: +2 (47-45)
Average of last five polls: Biden +6.8
RON’S COMMENT: The Economist poll has Biden winning men 45-44, women 51-38 and voters aged 30-44 by 54-30. Trump wins voters aged 65 and older by 53-40 and independents 38-37. One out of ten independents say they want to vote for another candidate…. It’s surprising that Democrats aren’t doing more to go after voters 65 and older, which was once a mainstay Democratic constituency…. Largely because of the Rasmussen poll, which often shows Trump doing better than others polls, Biden’s average margin has dipped, but is still clear…. Also, from The Economist poll:
- Of Biden voters, 44% say they’re voting mostly for Biden and 54% are mostly voting against Trump.
- Of Trump voters, 74% say they’re voting mostly for Trump and 23% are mostly voting against Biden.
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden +5
TEXAS: Biden +1
OHIO: Biden +4
FLORIDA: Biden +6
RON’S COMMENT: None of these new state numbers are good for Trump. In 2016, he won Pennsylvania by seven-tenths of a point, Florida by a point, Texas by 9 points and Ohio by 8 points. Looks like he has to fight tooth-and-nail to hold Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio, and––surprisingly––maybe even Texas, which is usually a slam dunk for Republican presidential candidates. The two previous polls had Trump ahead in Texas by 1- to 2-point margins.