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14 Jan LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Self-Pardon Unpopular – Post-Election Ratings – Election Objections

Posted at 16:45h in Lunchtime Politics by

Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, January 14

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 40%

Down 2 from Monday

RON’S COMMENT: Trump’s approval rating has now dipped nearly 7 points below his popular vote performance in the November election (46.9% to 40%), which means he’s lost about 15% of his support since the election…. Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 33% (Quinnipiac) to 46% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would still be 40%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 57% today (+1 from Monday)…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020  at approval trend.

POST-ELECTION APPROVAL

Among voters nationwide

Trump: Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump is handling the post-election period?

Approve: 24%
Disapprove: 69%
Not sure: 7%

RON’S COMMENT: More than two-thirds of voters disapprove of the way Trump is handling the post-election period. Also: 6% of Democrats, 21% of independents and 48% of Republicans approve of Trump’s post-election performance…. Note that Trump’s approval rating for handling the post-election period is far lower than his overall job approval rating, which presumably includes his entire term of office (24% vs. 40%).

Biden: Do you approve or disapprove of the way President-Elect Joe Biden is handling the post-election period?

Approve: 54%
Disapprove: 34%
Not sure: 12%

RON’S COMMENT: Biden received 51.3 of the popular vote in November; his handling of the post-election period is higher, at 54%…. 88% of Democrats, 45% of independents and 20% of Republicans approve of the way Biden is handling the post-election period…. Here is the number that will worry Republicans: Biden’s post-election period approval rating is now 30 points higher than Trump’s––54% vs. 24%.

SELF-PARDON

Among voters nationwide

Would you support President Trump pardoning himself? 

Support: 23%
Oppose: 57%
Not sure: 19%

RON’S COMMENT: A clear majority of all voters oppose Trump pardoning himself…. Looking at only Republicans: 51% would support a self-pardon, 24% would oppose it and 25% are not sure.

2020 ELECTION

Among voters nationwide

GOP objections: Do you support or oppose the objections made by some Republicans in Congress to the certification of the election of Joe Biden as president? 

Support objections: 36%
Oppose objections: 52%
Not sure: 11%

RON’S COMMENT: A majority of voters oppose objections made by some Republicans in Congress to the certification of the election of Joe Biden as president. Also: 11% of Democrats, 31% of independents and 67% of Republicans say they supported objections.

Confidence in election fairness: How much confidence do you have that the 2020 presidential election was held fairly? 

A great deal/quite a bit of confidence: 46%
A moderate amount of confidence: 11%
Only a little/no confidence at all: 39%

RON’S COMMENT: 81% of Democrats, 39% of independents and 10% of Republicans say they have a great deal or quite a bit of confidence that the 2020 presidential election was held fairly.

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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
POST-ELECTION APPROVAL, SELF-PARDON, 2020 ELECTION: The Economist/YouGov, Jan. 10-12

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux
rfaucheux@certusinsights.com

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.