Among general election voters
(NPR/PBS) Biden over Trump: +8 (52-44)
(Hill) Biden over Trump: +4 (43-39-5)
Average of last four polls: Biden +7.3
RON’S COMMENT: The Hill/HarrisX poll shows Biden’s lead falling from 10 points in the first week of June to 4 points last week. More than a few Democrats are scratching their heads over that one.
Biden over Trump: +5 (46-41)
Average of last four polls: Biden +3.5
RON’S COMMENT: In 2016, Trump carried Pennsylvania by seven-tenths of a point…. Worth noting: Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf’s job approval has fallen from 68% in April to 49% now.
Biden over Trump: +9 (49-40)
Average of last four polls: Biden +8.3
RON’S COMMENT: If this Fox News poll and other recent polls are anywhere near accurate, Trump is in trouble. On issues, this survey shows Biden leading Trump on immigration (+10), coronavirus (+13) and race relations (+18). Trump leads on the economy (+4).
Biden over Trump: +1 (45-44)
Average of last four polls: Trump +1.3
RON’S COMMENT: It’s hard to believe Biden is doing this well in Texas, but that’s what this Fox News poll shows. Other recent polls also show a competitive race. It goes without saying that losing Texas and its 38 electoral votes would be a nuclear blow to Trump’s re-election hopes…. Trump won Texas by 9 points in 2016. Republicans carried the Lone Star state in 10 of the last 10 presidential elections
(Fox News) Biden over Trump: +2 (47-45)
(PPP-D) Biden over Trump: +4 (49-45)
Average: Biden +3
RON’S COMMENT: These two polls find Biden leading this normally red state. To hold his lead, Biden will need to get a massive turnout of Democratic constituencies to offset conservative voters––always a tough task in this state. Trump won Georgia by 5 points in 2016.
Trump over Biden: +1 (46-45)
Average of last four polls: Biden +5.5
RON’S COMMENT: This new poll has Trump edging Biden in Wisconsin, which is at odds with three previous polls showing Biden leading the state. In 2016, Trump carried Wisconsin by seven-tenths of a point.
Biden over Trump: +2 (47-45)
Average of last four polls: Biden +0.8
RON’S COMMENT: North Carolina remains close. Trump won the state in 2016 by nearly 4 points. Though Republicans have won North Carolina in nine of the last ten presidential elections, it’s commonly viewed as a critical swing state based on close races in recent elections.