TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%

Down 1 from yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Quinnipiac) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without those extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (same as yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.

FLORIDA: PRESIDENT

Among voters statewide

Trump over Biden: +2 (51-49)
Trump over Sanders: +6 (53-47)

RON’S COMMENT: Trump leads both Biden and Sanders in Florida, though Biden runs it closer. In 2016, Trump carried the Sunshine State by a narrow 1.2 points. In the last six presidential elections, Republicans have carried Florida three times and Democrats have carried it three times.

NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION

Among Democratic primary voters nationwide

(Reuters) Biden over Sanders: +21 (54-33)
(The Economist) Biden over Sanders: +15 (53-38)

RON’S COMMENT: Ten days ago, Sanders had a 12-point lead over Biden among Democratic primary voters nationwide. Now, Biden has margins ranging from 15% to 21%.

FLORIDA PRIMARY

Among Democratic primary voters statewide

Biden over Sanders: +36 (61-25)

RON’S COMMENT: Looks like Florida is a lost cause for Sanders. Biden maintains a wide lead in the state. The primary is March 17 for 219 delegates.

ALABAMA: SENATE PRIMARY

Among Republican primary voters statewide

Republican primary
Tommy Tuberville over Jeff Sessions: +12 (52-40)

RON’S COMMENT: Sessions is now the underdog in his Senate comeback bid. Former Auburn coach Tuberville posts a solid runoff lead over the former senator and Trump AG. This poll also finds that 45% of Republican primary voters believe President Trump opposes Sessions’ election, while 16% disagree. Trump has, since this poll was taken, endorsed Tuberville…. Tuberville led Sessions in the first primary by almost 2 points…. The runoff is March 31…. The GOP winner will face Democratic Sen. Doug Jones in November.

ARIZONA: SENATE

Among voters statewide

Mark Kelly (D) over Sen. Martha McSally (R): +7 (49-42)

RON’S COMMENT: Democrat Kelly, who has raised more than $20 million, has led every poll since August. McSally has raised $12 million…. The survey finds that 47% of Arizona voters approve of Trump’s job performance, while 50% disapprove. And,46% approve of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus situation, while 54% disapprove.

CONGRESSIONAL APPROVAL

Among voters nationwide

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the [Republicans in Congress/Democrats in Congress] are handling their job?

% = Approve/Disapprove
Republicans in Congress: 40%/56%
Democrats in Congress: 35%/62%

RON’S COMMENT: This is interesting––Republicans in Congress now rate better than Democrats in Congress by 5 points (40% vs. 35%). Over the past four months, approval of Republicans went up 6 points and approval of Democrats went down 3 points. Did impeachment hurt Democrats? Looks like it.

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