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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Special Edition: Dissecting Biden’s Lead

Your Daily Polling Update for Saturday, June 6


Same as Thursday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 40% (Reuters) to 48% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would still be 43%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (-1 from Thursday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020 at approval trend.


Among general election voters

(NPR/PBS) Biden over Trump: +7 (50-43-2)
(IBD/TIPP) Biden over Trump: +3 (45-42)
Biden Average (last six polls): +6.8

RON’S COMMENT: In the new NPR/PBS poll:

  • Biden wins Democrats 94-4, independents 45-41, blacks 88-9, Latinos 59-35 and women 56-38.
  • Trump wins Republicans 90-4, whites 49-44 and men 48-44.
  • Trump wins independent men 44-42 and Biden wins independent women 51-34.
  • Trump wins white men without college degrees 59-33 and white women without college degrees 59-34.
  • Biden wins white men with college degrees 47-45 and white women with college degrees 67-28.
  • Biden wins Gen Z/Millennials 60-30 (age 18-39).
  • Trump wins Gen X 48-45 (age 40-55), Baby Boomers 47-46 (age 56-74) and Silent/Greatest Gen 51-45 (age 75+).
  • As you can see, Biden’s lead is based on heavy support from minority voters, white women with college degrees, independent women and Gen Z/Millennials.


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Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.

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Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics will publish Tuesdays and Thursdays during the weeks ahead, but will add special editions (as today’s) when important new data becomes available. As soon as political polling gears up again, we will return to regular daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.