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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Special Edition – Rating Fauci, Trump, World Leaders – Michigan Senate

Your Daily Polling Update for Saturday, March 28

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 48%

Same as Thursday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 46% (Rasmussen) to 50% (The Hill). Without these extremes, the average would still be 48%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 50% today (same as Thursday), which is 2 points higher than his approval rating.

RATING: HANDLING CORONAVIRUS

Among voters nationwide

% = Approve/Disapprove
Dr. Anthony Fauci: 77%/12%
Your local officials: 75%/19%
Your state government: 74%/23%
Mike Pence: 55%/37%
Federal government: 55%/41%
Donald Trump: 51%/46%

RON’S COMMENT: Fauci’s approval rating is off the charts. Local and state officials also do very well. Both Trump and Pence poll above 50%, with Pence doing better than his boss…. Trump’s approval rating handling the coronavirus by group: 57% men, 46% women, 24% Democrats, 86% Republicans and 46% independents.

IMPACT ON DAILY LIFE

Among voters nationwide

In light of the coronavirus outbreak, how much have you changed the way you lead your everyday life?

A great deal: 50%
Somewhat: 35%
Not much: 11%
Not at all: 3%

RON’S COMMENT: 85% say the coronavirus outbreak has changed their everyday lives either “a great deal” or “somewhat.”

RATINGS: WORLD LEADERS

Among voters in each country

% = Approve/Disapprove
Boris Johnson (UK): 61%/32%
Andrew Lopez Obrador (Mexico): 60%/29%
Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil): 53%/38%
Angela Merkel (Germany): 49%/43%
Justin Trudeau (Canada): 49%/44%
Scott Morrison (Australia): 47%/44%
Emmanuel Macron (France): 35%/59%
Shinzo Abe (Japan): 32%/55%

RON’S COMMENT: Here is what happened to the approval ratings of world leaders in their countries since the first of January (before the coronavirus outbreak) compared to where they are now:

  • Johnson: up 13 points
  • Morrison: up 12 points
  • Merkel: up 10 points
  • Macron: up 7 points
  • Trudeau: up 6 points
  • Bolsonaro: same
  • Abe: down 3 points
  • Obrador: down 4 points

PRESIDENT: MICHIGAN

Among voters statewide

Biden over Trump +3 (44-41-6)

RON’S COMMENT: Biden has led Trump in every one of 15 Michigan polls over the past eleven months. In 2016, Trump carried Michigan by the tiny margin of two-tenths of a point. In the last seven presidential elections, Republicans won the state one time and Democrats won it six times. From the poll report:

  • “This race is shaping up to be a potential repeat of the Presidential race in 2016,” said Jenell Leonard, owner of MRG. “Neither candidate is personally popular and the partisan support has solidified for each of them. Twenty–five percent of the Independent voters are currently undecided or voting for a third-party candidate. Their votes are up for grabs and whoever wins them over will likely win in November.”

SENATE: MICHIGAN

Among voters statewide

Sen. Gary Peters (D) over John James (R): +7 (42-35-1)

RON’S COMMENT: Since the first of the year, Democratic incumbent Peters has led Republican James by an average of 5.7 points. Handicappers rate the general election lean Democratic. From the poll report:

  • “After five years in office, Gary Peters is still unknown to almost one-third of Michigan voters and that alone makes him potentially vulnerable,” said Tom Shields, MRG’s Senior Advisor. “But his early spending this quarter, running positive campaign ads for himself and starting to attack his Republican rival, John James, has paid dividends and opened up a seven-point lead.

_____________________
Timely Research Advice: 

How to Communicate During the Pandemic

New national polling shows that 57% of U.S. adults say ads showing people shaking hands are not appropriate in a time of social distancing. This is a good example how the coronavirus outbreak creates new communications challenges for businesses, nonprofits and associations. Learn the five ways that strategic research can be used to reshape messaging and creative during this crisis: READ FULL ARTICLE

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SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
IMPACT ON DAILY LIFE: Fox News, March 21-24
RATING: HANDLING CORONAVIRUS: Fox News, March 21-24;
MICHIGAN: Marketing Resource Group, March 16-20
RATINGS: WORLD LEADERS IN THEIR COUNTRIES: Morning Consult, based on surveys taken between Jan. 1 and March 24

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at rfaucheux@certusinsights.com.

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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About Us
Ron Faucheux
rfaucheux@certusinsights.com

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.