SENATE ELECTIONS
Among voters in each state
POLL AVERAGES:
(Based on averages of last two to six polls, depending upon interview dates, in each state)
ALABAMA
Tommy Tuberville (R) over Sen. Doug Jones (D): +10.8
Handicappers rate the race lean or likely Republican
NORTH CAROLINA
Cal Cunningham (D) over Sen. Thom Tillis (R): +3.7
Handicappers rate the race lean Democratic or tossup
MAINE
Sara Gideon (D) over Sen. Susan Collins (R): +4.4
Handicappers rate the race tilt/lean Democratic or tossup
ARIZONA
Mark Kelly (D) over Sen. Martha McSally (R): +4.8
Handicappers rate the race tilt/lean Democratic
GEORGIA
Jon Ossoff (D) over Sen. David Perdue (R): +1.2
Handicappers rate the race tossup
MICHIGAN
Sen. Gary Peters (D) over John James (R): +8.5
Handicappers rate the race lean Democratic
COLORADO
John Hickenlooper (D) over Sen. Cory Gardner (R): +9.3
Handicappers rate the race lean or likely Democratic
MINNESOTA
Sen. Tina Smith (D) over Jason Lewis (R): +8
Handicappers rate the race safe or likely Democratic
IOWA
Sen. Joni Ernst (R) over Theresa Greenfield (D): +0.8
Handicappers rate the race tossup or lean Republican
TEXAS
Sen. John Cornyn (R) over MJ Hegar (D): +5
Handicappers rate the race lean Republican
MONTANA
Sen. Steve Daines (R) over Steve Bullock (D): +0.3
Handicappers rate the race tossup or lean Republican
SOUTH CAROLINA
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) over Jaime Harrison (D): +3.3
Handicappers rate the race lean/tilt Republican or tossup
KANSAS
Roger Marshall (R) over Barbara Boilier (D): +2
Handicappers rate the race lean or tilt Republican
ALASKA
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) over Al Gross (D/I): +3
Handicappers rate the race lean Republican
KENTUCKY
Sen. Mitchell McConnell (R) over Amy McGrath (D): +10.3
Handicappers rate the race safe or likely Republican
MISSISSIPPI
Sen. Cindy-Hyde Smith (R) over Mike Espy (D): +6.5
Handicappers rate the race likely or safe Republican
NEW MEXICO
Ben Ray Lujan (D) over Mark Ronchetti (R): +9.7
Handicappers rate the race safe or likely Democratic
VIRGINIA
Sen. Mark Warner (D) over Daniel Glade (R): +17.7
Handicappers rate the race safe Democratic
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) over Corky Messner (R): +14.3
Handicappers rate the race safe or likely Democratic
GEORGIA Special Election; Open Primary
Raphael Warnock (D): 42.6%
Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R): 24%
Doug Collins (R): 22.4%
Matt Lieberman (D): 5%
(If no one receives a majority, the race goes to a runoff in January)
RON’S COMMENT: Republicans now control 53 of 100 Senate seats. Of the 35 seats on the block this election, 12 are held by Democrats and 23 by Republicans. This means Republicans have greater exposure––which gives Democrats a shot at capturing the Senate majority…. If the Biden-Harris ticket wins, Democrats only need a net gain of three seats to control the Senate, that’s because the vice-president breaks ties. But, if the Trump-Pence ticket wins, Democrats would need a net gain of four seats. Based on these polling averages––
Republicans have:
- A good chance at picking up one seat now held by Democrats (Alabama).
Democrats have:
- A good chance at picking up three seats now held by Republicans (Colorado, Arizona, Maine).
- A fair chance at picking up one seat now held by a Republican (North Carolina).
- An even chance at picking up two seats now held by Republicans (Georgia, Montana).
- An outside chance at picking up four seats now held by Republicans (Iowa, Kansas, South Carolina and Alaska; the Democratic nominee in Alaska is an independent).
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