Among voters in each state
Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) over Mike Espy (D): +5 (47-42-3)
RON’S COMMENT: Democrat Espy’s campaign has released a Garin-Hart-Yang poll that shows Republican incumbent Hyde-Smith ahead by only 5 points. In retaliation, Hyde-Smith’s campaign then released a Tarrance Group poll which shows her leading by a much wider 20 points. The Democratic poll was conducted more recently, July 30-August 9, while the Republican poll was conducted June 22-25…. Did the race change that much in a month and a half? Or is one of these partisan polls just wrong?…. Let’s wait for the next round…. In 2018, Hyde-Smith defeated Espy, a former congressman and Agriculture secretary, by nearly 8 points in a special election runoff…. Handicappers rate the race safe Republican.
Cal Cunningham (D) over Sen. Thom Tillis (R): +3 (41-38)
COMMENT: Yesterday, we reported two polls showing Democrat Cunningham leading, on average, by 3.5 points. This Republican-affiliated poll confirms that finding. Handicappers rate the race a tossup.