Among voters in each state
(Mason-Dixon) Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) over Amy McGrath (D): +9 (51-42)
RON’S COMMENT: McConnell remains well ahead in his re-election race, though his lead drops below the double-digit margin he won by six years ago (15 points). Handicappers rate the race safe or likely Republican.
(Insider Advantage) Theresa Greenfield (D) over Sen. Joni Ernst (R): +5 (48-43)
RON’S COMMENT: This is the 7th poll in a row showing Democrat Greenfield leading Ernst. GOP incumbent Ernst’s recent debate performance hasn’t help her. See this clip about Ernst and the price of soybeans: debate clip
GEORGIA Special Election Open Primary
Raphael Warnock (D): 32%
Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R): 23%
Doug Collins (R): 17%
Matt Lieberman (D): 7%
RON’S COMMENT: The last poll we reported had Warnock and Collins tied for first place. But this survey shows Warnock first with incumbent Loeffler second and Collins a fairly distant third. Hard to know exactly what’s going on in this open primary. A runoff in January is likely.
GEORGIA Regular Election (NYT)
Sen. David Perdue (R) and Jon Ossoff (D): Even (43-43)
COMMENT: It appears this race has closed up.
(Reuters) Cal Cunningham (D) over Sen. Thom Tillis (R): Even (47-47)
(ECU) Cal Cunningham (D) over Sen. Thom Tillis (R): +1 (48-47)
COMMENT: This could flip either way. Cunningham’s sexting scandal has apparently left some damage.
(Reuters) Sen. Gary Peters (D) over John James (R): +5 (50-45)
(CNBC) Sen. Gary Peters (D) over John James (R): +5 (50-45)
COMMENT: Two polls with the same results. Incumbent Peters keeps his modest lead, but can’t seem to expand it. James is within striking distance, but can’t quite strike.