2024 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION

Among Republican voters nationwide

Trial heat:
Donald Trump: 54%
Mike Pence: 12%
Donald Trump, Jr.: 8%
Nikki Haley: 4%
Ted Cruz: 4%
Mitt Romney: 3%
Marco Rubio: 2%
Kristi Noem: 1%
Tim Scott: 1%
Josh Hawley: 1%
Rick Scott, Tom Cotton, Larry Hogan and Charlie Baker each receive 0%

RON’S COMMENT: Ready or not––and if you’re like me, you’re not––here is the first national poll for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. It shows President Trump beating the field 54-36, which includes his own son and his VP. Excerpt from the poll report:

• “Nearly 7 in 10 Republican voters (68 percent) said they consider Trump to be more in touch with the party’s rank and file, compared with 20 percent who said the same of Republicans in Congress. Trump was also more likely to be considered effective and committed to the country’s best interests, leading congressional Republicans on both questions by 54 percentage points, 71 percent to 17 percent. Another 56 percent of Republican voters say Trump is predominantly looking out for the party’s best interests.”

The poll also finds that:

• 69% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress respect President Trump.
• 25% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress fear Trump.
• 72% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress listen to Trump.
• 72% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress want to work with Trump.
• 17% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress respect President-elect Biden.
• 30% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress fear Biden.
• 15% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress listen to Biden.
• 18% of Republican voters believe Republicans in Congress want to work with Biden.

NATIONAL FAVORABILITY RATINGS 
OF GOP PRESIDENTIAL PROSPECTS
AMONG REPUBLICAN VOTERS NATIONWIDE:

% = Favorable/Unfavorable
Donald Trump: 87%/12%
Mike Pence: 82%/12%
Ted Cruz: 57%/15%
Marco Rubio: 49%/15%
Nikki Haley: 41%/11%
Mitt Romney: 40%/42%
Rick Scott: 30%/11%
Tim Scott: 26%/8%
Kristi Noem: 20%/9%
Josh Hawley: 18%/9%

RON’S COMMENT: No surprise that President Trump and VP Pence have the highest favorable ratings among Republicans voters nationwide. Following them are Cruz, Rubio, Haley and Romney…. Mitt Romney, the 2012 GOP nominee, is the only name on this list who has a personal rating that is net negative among his fellow Republicans.

BIDEN FAVORABILITY RATINGS  

Among voters nationwide

Joe Biden
Favorable: 57%
Unfavorable: 41%

RON’S COMMENT: Biden’s personal favorable rating has increased since the election to 57%. His favorable rating among Democrats is 93%, among Republicans 16% and among independents 53%.

SUBSCRIBE

Click here to forward this message to a friend or client.
You can sign up here to receive Lunchtime Politics in your inbox everyday. Follow LunchtimePolitics on Twitter.