PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Among general election voters

Nationwide Popular Vote

(IBD/TIPP) Biden +6 (50-44-2-1)
Average of last three 4-way polls: Biden +8.7

RON’S COMMENT: Surprisingly few polls today.

In the States

States Trump carried in 2016
WISCONSIN (CBS): Biden +5
ARIZONA (CBS): Biden +3
MISSOURI (Scout): Trump +6

RON’S COMMENT: Internal numbers from key states of Wisconsin and Arizona––

Wisconsin poll: 

• 24% of Wisconsin voters say they have already voted, and that includes 39% of Democrats and 15% of Republicans.
• Trump wins on the economy 47-46 and Biden wins on the coronavirus 53-34.
• 54% say they like Biden personally and 32% say they like Trump personally.
• 47% say Biden is most concerned about the middle class, 35% say the wealthy and elite and 18% say the poor.
• 35% say Trump is most concerned about the middle class, 60% say the wealthy and elite and 5% say the poor.

Arizona poll: 

• 26% of all Arizona voters say they‘ve already voted, and that includes 39% of Democrats and 15% of Republicans.
• Trump wins on the economy 47-44 and Biden wins on the coronavirus 50-39.
• 50% say they like Biden personally and 34% say they like Trump personally.
• 43% say Biden is most concerned about the middle class, 42% say the wealthy and elite and 15% say the poor.
• 34% say Trump is most concerned about the middle class, 58% say the wealthy and elite and 8% say the poor.

SENATE ELECTIONS

Among voters in each state

ARIZONA (CBS)
Mark Kelly (D) over Sen. Martha McSally (R): +11 (52-41)

RON’S COMMENT: Handicappers rate the contest lean or tilt Democratic.

WHITMER KIDNAPPING THREAT

Among voters nationwide

[The] Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) arrested 6 people in Michigan, charging them with conspiring to kidnap Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Seven others tied to a related paramilitary group were also arrested and charged with state terrorism threats against law enforcement officers. Do you believe that these people arrested by the FBI… 

Presented a real threat to Gov. Whitmer’s safety: 64%
Did not present a real threat to Gov. Whitmer’s safety: 11%
Not sure: 25%

RON’S COMMENT: 78% of Democrats, 58% of independents and 51% of Republicans say the kidnap threat presented a real threat to Gov. Whitmer’s safety.

TRUTHFULNESS: BY INFORMATION SOURCE

Among adults nationwide

How confident are you that the content or information you receive from each of the following sources is true…?

Something I saw with my own eyes: 92%
Government records (birth/death/marriage; property, licenses, etc.): 84%
My memory: 80%
Live audio/video as it happens: 76%
Statements from researchers/academics: 76%
Eyewitness statements: 57%
My religious leaders: 56%
Communications or advertising from major companies: 40%
Statements from government officials: 36%

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