Among voters in each state
Sara Gideon (D) over Sen. Susan Collins (R): +5 (44-39)
COMMENT: Another poll showing incumbent Collins trailing. Handicappers rate the race a tossup.
Cal Cunningham (D) over Sen. Thom Tillis (R): +12 (52-40)
COMMENT: Incumbent Tillis hasn’t led a poll since mid-June. Since then, seven surveys have shown Democrat Cunningham with a lead. This poll’s 12-point margin is the best Cunningham has done in any public polling so far. Handicappers rate the race a tossup.
Mark Kelly (D) over Sen. Martha McSally (R): +2 (47-45)
RON’S COMMENT: Polls have consistently shown Democrat Kelly with a lead. However, this poll indicates a closer contest than other have polls have found. Is it an outlier or does it catch movement in McSally’s favor? Handicappers rate the contest tilt/lean Democratic.
GEORGIA (Special Election; Open Primary)
Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R): 26%
Doug Collins (R): 20%
Matt Lieberman (D): 14%
Raphael Warnock (D): 9%
Ed Tarver (D): 5%
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows incumbent Loeffler, who was appointed by Gov. Brian Kemp (R) to fill the seat of retiring Sen. Johnny Isakson (R), has gained on the field. Collins has slipped to second place and Warnock has sunk to fourth place. The open primary is Nov. 3 and a Jan. 5 runoff, if needed, will be among the top two finishers…. Handicappers rate the race lean Republican.
GEORGIA (Regular Election)
Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +7 (50-43)
COMMENT: Incumbent Perdue has slowly built up a lead that’s gone from 3 points in mid-June to 7 points now. Handicappers rate the race either a tossup or tilt/lean Republican.
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) over Corky Messner (R): +19 (54-35)
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) over Don Bolduc (R): +19 (54-35)
COMMENT: Incumbent Shaheen posts solid leads over both Republican challengers. Messner is a lawyer and former U.S. Army Ranger. Bolduc is a retired Special Forces brigadier general. Shaheen’s personal rating is 47% favorable/34% unfavorable/16% neutral. Neither Republican candidate is well known statewide. Handicappers rate the race safe or likely Democratic…. Earlier polls have shown Messner leading Bolduc for the GOP Senate nomination…. Note: New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu (R) is posting a wide lead in his re-election bid.
Sen. Gary Peters (D) over John James (R): +4 (48-44)
RON’S COMMENT: Incumbent Peters still leads, although his margin in this poll shows shrinkage.