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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: When Americans Will Resume Daily Routines – Biden Leads Florida, National Poll – Tuesday Trivia

Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, April 7


Down 1 from Thursday

RON’S COMMENT: Over the past eight days, President Trump’s approval rating average has slipped 2 points…. Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 45% (IBD/TIPP) to 47% (The Economist, Rasmussen). The fourth poll is 46%…. Trump’s disapproval rating averages 50% today (same as Thursday), which is 4 points higher than his approval rating.


Among voters nationwide

Biden over Trump: +6 (47-41)

RON’S COMMENT: This is an improvement for Biden, who posted a 3-point lead in this poll last month…. Even though Biden has not been prominent in the media lately––much to the chagrin of many of his supporters––he’s holding leads in national and key state polls. Perhaps being out of the public eye is helping Biden? 


Among Democratic primary voters nationwide

(IBD/TIPP) Biden over Sanders: +32 (62-30)
(Morning Consult) Biden over Sanders: +25 (61-36)

RON’S COMMENT: Biden leads Sanders by wide margins in both polls.


Among voters statewide

Biden over Trump: +6 (46-40)

RON’S COMMENT: Two previous polls, taken in early March, had Trump ahead in the critical swing state of Florida by an average of 2.5 points. This new poll has Biden up by 6 points…. In 2016, Trump carried Florida by a narrow 1.2 points. In the last six presidential elections, Republicans won the state three times and Democrats won it three times…. As we said above, perhaps being out of the public eye is helping Biden?


Among voters statewide

Please select whether you approve or disapprove of the job each person is doing to address the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic….

Pres. Donald Trump (R): 45% approve/53% disapprove
VP Mike Pence (R): 48% approve/44% disapprove
Dr. Anthony Fauci: 85% approve/6% disapprove
Gov. Ron DeSantis (R): 51% approve /46% disapprove
Sen. Marco Rubio (R): 38% approve /35% disapprove
Sen. Rick Scott (R): 37% approve /39% disapprove

RON’S COMMENT: Based on this poll, Trump is a little weaker in Florida on handling the coronavirus than he is in most national polls…. Pence, DeSantis, and Rubio are all right side up on handling the issue. Scott is slightly upside down. Fauci is the superstar of this cast.


Among adults nationwide

When do you think you will be able to resume your regular daily routine? 

By May 1: 13%
By June 1: 31%
By July 1: 15%
By the end of summer: 25%
By the end of the year: 11%
Longer than that: 5%

RON’S COMMENT: 44% of Americans expect to resume their daily routine by June 1, while 56% think it will take longer.


In addition to presidential candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, four people received Electoral College votes for president in the 2016 election––including a governor, a U.S. Senator, a former Secretary of State and a former U.S. Representative. Name them.

(See answers below)


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Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: PRESIDENT: IBD/TIPP, March 29-April 1; Morning Consult, March 30-April 5
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: IBD/TIPP, March 29-April 1; Morning Consult, March 30-April 5
FLORIDA: Univ. of Florida, March 31-April 4


Now is the time to survey your members. As the coronavirus adds new challenges to a range of professions and businesses, it’s more important than ever that national associations and societies survey their memberships. It’s crucial to stay on top of the issues that are impacting individual members: How is the pandemic affecting business and practices? What are the challenges? How can a national association help? What government policies are needed? Certus Insights, a full-service survey research firm based in the DC area specializes in confidential member surveys and studies.
For more information on membership surveys, contact Andrew Rugg at To see the quantitative and qualitative research offerings from Certus, go to link.


Colin Powell, John Kasich, Bernie Sanders and Ron Paul. Powell received three electoral votes in 2016 and the others received one each. Electors who vote for candidates they are not pledged to support are called “faithless electors.”

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.