DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES

Among Democratic voters in each state

California Primary
Elizabeth Warren: 28%
Bernie Sanders: 24%
Joe Biden: 19%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Kamala Harris: 8%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: Warren and Sanders are leading in California in this survey, which is at odds with the poll we reported Wednesday that had Biden first (33%), Warren second (18%) and Sanders third (17%). What to believe? We’ll need to wait for the next few polls to find out.

South Carolina Primary
Joe Biden: 30%
Elizabeth Warren: 19%
Bernie Sanders: 13%
Kamala Harris: 11%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Tom Steyer: 5%
Andrew Yang: 4%
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%
Cory Booker: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: This new South Carolina poll puts Biden on top, but the gap between him and Warren is down to 11 points. The Monmouth poll we reported this week had the gap at a more robust 17 points.

TRUMP, SYRIA, ISIS

Among voters nationwide

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump is handling Syria? 

Approve: 35%
Disapprove: 55%

RON’S COMMENT: 8% of Democrats, 68% of Republicans and 28% of independents approve of the way Trump is handling Syria.

Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. forces from the area near the international border between Syria and Turkey which has had the effect of leaving Syrian Kurds who fought against ISIS vulnerable to attack from the Turkish military? 

Approve: 33%
Disapprove: 55%

RON’S COMMENT: 8% of Democrats, 62% of Republicans and 27% of independents approve of Trump’s decision.

TRUMP VS. GENERIC DEMOCRAT

Among voters nationwide

If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for? 

Democratic candidate: 49% (same as last week)
Trump: 40% (same as last week)
It depends: 10%

RON’S COMMENT: The “generic” Democrat is now ahead by 9 points, same as last week.

ELECTION THREATENING WAY OF LIFE

Among voters nationwide

Do you feel your own personal way of life is or is not under threat from the prospect of Donald Trump being re-elected president?

Is under threat: 41%
Is not under threat: 56%

RON’S COMMENT: The stakes for the presidential election are high. 74% of Democratic voters feel their way of life is threatened if Trump is re-elected. Internals: 44% of voters under 35, 51% of women and 54% of nonwhites gave that response.

Do you feel your own personal way of life is or is not under threat from the prospect of a Democrat being elected president?

Is under threat: 37%
Is not under threat: 54%

RON’S COMMENT: 73% of Republican voters say their way of life would be threatened if a Democrat is elected president. Internals: 44% of men, 43% of those 55 and older and 48% of whites without a college degree agree.