NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION

Among Democratic primary voters nationwide

Bernie Sanders: 32%
Michael Bloomberg: 19%
Joe Biden: 18%
Elizabeth Warren: 11%
Pete Buttigieg: 11%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 4%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: Looking at the internal data from this post-debate national poll….

• Between Thursday (Feb. 20) and Sunday (Feb. 23), this poll shows Sanders moving up 2 points and Bloomberg recovering a bit, going up 2 points, from 17% to 19%. Biden, Warren and Klobuchar are each down a point and Buttigieg remains the same.
• The poll now puts Sanders ahead among black voters nationwide (30%) with Biden and Bloomberg tied for second place (25% each).
• Sanders leads whites with 29% and Hispanics with 45%.
• Sanders wins Gen Z with 55%, Millennials with 43%, Gen X with 30%. Biden wins Boomers with 23%, Bloomberg is a close second at 22% and Sanders is third at 19%.

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES

Among Democratic voters in each state

South Carolina Primary
% = NBC / PPP = Average
Joe Biden: 27%/36% = 31.5
Bernie Sanders: 23%/21% = 22
Tom Steyer: 15%/7% = 11
Pete Buttigieg: 9%/7% = 8
Elizabeth Warren: 8%/8% = 8
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%/6% = 4.5
Amy Klobuchar: 5%/3% = 4

RON’S COMMENT: Two more polls showing Biden hanging onto his lead in “firewall” South Carolina. But: NBC puts Biden’s advantage over Sanders at a modest 4 points, while the PPP poll has him leading by a wide 15 points. What to believe? Let’s see how tonight’s debate goes. The primary is Saturday for 54 delegates

Texas Primary
Joe Biden: 20%
Bernie Sanders: 20%
Elizabeth Warren: 17%
Michael Bloomberg: 12%
Pete Buttigieg: 11%
Amy Klobuchar: 7%
Tulsi Gabbard: 3%

RON’S COMMENT: This survey was taken Feb. 6-18, an unusually long 13-day interviewing window, especially during a time with fast-moving events. In any case, it has Biden and Sanders tied at the top with Warren close behind. The primary is March 3 for 228 delegates, the second biggest delegate haul on Super Tuesday.

North Carolina Primary
Joe Biden: 23%
Bernie Sanders: 20%
Michael Bloomberg: 17%
Elizabeth Warren: 11%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Amy Klobuchar: 4%
Tom Steyer: 3%

RON’S COMMENT: This poll was taken after the last debate. The two polls before the debate gave Bloomberg 22% and 19%, and one had Sanders ahead. Looks like Bloomberg’s loss may be Biden’s gain. The primary is Super Tuesday, March 3, for 110 delegates.

New York Primary
Bernie Sanders: 25%
Michael Bloomberg: 21%
Joe Biden: 13%
Elizabeth Warren: 11%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Amy Klobuchar: 9%

RON’S COMMENT: Sanders is leading in this poll of New York state Democrats with Bloomberg second. Internals:

• Among only NYC voters, Bloomberg beats Sanders 27-19––but, Sanders wins upstate 35-12 and the suburbs 29-17.
• Bloomberg runs first among African Americans statewide (24%) with Biden a close second (23%).
• Catholics favor Sanders over Bloomberg, 29-23.
• Jewish voters pick Bloomberg first (28%) and Buttigieg second (16%).
• Bloomberg’s rating in NYC is 59% favorable/36% unfavorable. However, upstate is decidedly negative, at 25% favorable/58% unfavorable, and in the suburbs, it’s a not-so-hot 39% favorable/54% unfavorable.
• Most of this poll was conducted before the last debate.
• The primary isn’t until April 28 for 274 delegates.

Maryland Primary
Bernie Sanders: 24%
Joe Biden: 18%
Michael Bloomberg: 16%
Pete Buttigieg: 7%
Elizabeth Warren: 6%
Amy Klobuchar: 6%

RON’S COMMENT: The Maryland primary is April 28 for 96 delegates.

TUESDAY TRIVIA

Which current member of the U.S. Senate recorded a folk album; had parts in two movies, “My X-Girlfriend’s Wedding Reception” and “Sweet Hearts Dance”; lost a race for governor; taught at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government; and has a Ben & Jerry’s ice cream flavor named after him?

(See answer below)

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