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Special Saturday Edition – Post-Debate National Poll – Nevada Update

Your Daily Polling Update for Saturday, February 22


Among Democratic primary voters nationwide

% = Before Debate / After Debate (Change)
Bernie Sanders: 28%/30% (+2)
Michael Bloomberg: 20%/17% (-3)
Joe Biden: 19%/19% (same)
Elizabeth Warren: 10%/12% (+2)
Pete Buttigieg: 12%/11% (-1)
Amy Klobuchar: 6%/5% (-1)

RON’S COMMENT: Conducted after Wednesday’s debate, this poll shows Sanders and Warren each going up 2 points and Bloomberg dropping 3 points. While Bloomberg’s fall could have been worse, it came as his campaign revs up for the big Super Tuesday showdown. Also keep in mind: This survey was conducted Thursday, the day after the debate, so it may not fully reflect its repercussions. The question now is whether the former NYC mayor can recover in the next debate. Internal data:

  • Before the debate, Bloomberg had a 61% favorable rating among Democratic primary voters nationwide. After the debate, it fell 9 points to 52%. Worse, his unfavorable rating went up 10 points, from 25% to 35%.
  • Bloomberg’s positive rating declined 8 points among women and 11 points  among men.
  • The most damage done was among moderate Democrats: Bloomberg’s favorable rating dropped 14 points and his unfavorable rating went up 15 points.
  • Bloomberg’s positive rating among whites went from 61% to 51% (-10) and among blacks it went from 62% to 56% (-6).


Among Democratic caucusgoers statewide

Bernie Sanders: 35%
Joe Biden: 16%
Elizabeth Warren: 16%
Pete Buttigieg: 15%
Tom Steyer: 8%
Amy Klobuchar: 8%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: Over the last week in this poll, Sanders, Buttigieg and Warren stayed the same; Biden went up 2 points, Klobuchar went down 1 point and Steyer went down 2 points…. This poll was conducted mostly after Wednesday’s debate…. Sanders appears to have cemented his first-place spot, but who runs second? Three candidates are in contention.

NEVADA: Data for Progress (D), Feb. 19-21

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux, Chief Analyst at Certus Insights. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2020 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.