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The Next President – New Hampshire – Impeachment

Your Daily Polling Update for Wednesday, October 30


Up 2 from yesterday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%…. President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 9 points higher than his approval rating.


Among Democratic voters nationwide

Joe Biden: 27%
Elizabeth Warren: 23%
Bernie Sanders: 14%
Pete Buttigieg: 7%
Kamala Harris: 4%
Beto O’Rourke: 4%
Andrew Yang: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: Since last week’s poll from The Economist, Biden is up 3 points, Warren stays steady, Sanders is down 2 and Buttigieg is down 1.


Among Democratic primary voters statewide

Bernie Sanders: 21%
Elizabeth Warren: 18%
Joe Biden: 15%
Pete Buttigieg: 10%
Tulsi Gabbard: 5%
Amy Klobuchar: 5%
Andrew Yang: 5%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Kamala Harris: 3%
Beto O’Rourke: 2%
Cory Booker: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed

RON’S COMMENT: This New Hampshire poll puts Warren in second place, previous polling had her running first. Biden’s performance, at 15%, is below lackluster. Sanders hangs in. But, notice that the numbers for all three top candidates are relatively low, with lower placed candidates showing a little life.


Among voters nationwide

Which of the following is your personal preference?

The House of Representatives should vote to impeach President Trump: 36%
The House should continue investigating Trump, but not vote to impeach him: 22%
Congress should drop its investigations into President Trump and administration: 37%

RON’S COMMENT: This question breaks down the choices differently than most other polls have done. In it, 70% of Democrats, 8% of Republicans and 22% of independents say the House should vote to impeach Trump. 41% of women compared to 31% of men favor doing so.

If the House impeaches President Trump, do you think the Senate should convict him, removing him from office – yes or no?

Yes: 46%
No: 47%

RON’S COMMENT: In the event of impeachment, support for removal from office is higher than support for impeachment among Democrats (79% vs 70%) and independents (43% vs 22%). That’s a result worth discussing.

Do you think the White House has an obligation to comply with the subpoenas from the House committees who are demanding testimony and documents – yes or no?

Yes: 66%
No: 26%

RON’S COMMENT: 91% of Democrats, 35% of Republicans and 68% of independents say the White House has an obligation to comply with the subpoenas.


Among voters nationwide

Do you think America is ready for…

% = America is ready/Not ready
A female president: 70%/20%
An unmarried president: 63%/18%
A Hispanic president: 56%/29%
A president who is vegan: 54%/17%
A president who is gay or lesbian: 40%/45%
An agnostic or nonreligious president: 38%/44%

Do you think you are ready for…

% = They’re ready/Not ready
A female president: 73%/19%
An unmarried president: 71%/16%
A Hispanic president: 65%/22%
A president who is vegan: 61%/17%
A president who is gay or lesbian: 50%/37%
An agnostic or nonreligious president: 45%/41%

RON’S COMMENT: Americans see themselves as more ready for a woman, unmarried, Hispanic, vegan, or gay/lesbian president than they perceive the nation as a whole…. Age is a key differentiator on presidential religiosity: 57% of voters under 30 say they are ready for an agnostic or nonreligious president, compared to 40% of those over 65. When it comes to a woman president, men are more ready then women: 75% of male voters say they are ready for a woman president compared to 72% of female voters.


Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
IMPEACHMENT: Suffolk University/USA Today, Oct. 23-26
NEXT PRESIDENT: Politico/Morning Consult, Oct. 25-28

Lunchtime Politics is owned and published by Ron Faucheux. For interviews or speeches about polling and political trends, contact Dr. Faucheux at

The publisher of this report cannot attest to the reliability or methodology of surveys that it does not conduct.

Copyright 2019 Ronald A. Faucheux

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Ron Faucheux

Dr. Faucheux is a nationally respected public opinion analyst with a unique background in public policy and legislative research, public communications and message strategies. He combines professional competence with pragmatic problem solving skills.